Polymarket odds on the biggest events
Polymarket odds are prices traders set with real money: a 30% price means the market sees roughly a 3-in-10 chance. This page lists the most traded events right now, together moving $19M in the last 24 hours, from the 2028 election to the Super Bowl and Bitcoin.
See who is placing the largest bets in our live whale trades feed, or learn how to make your first trade.
Featured odds pages
Long-running markets people search for most, with the live leader on each.
2028 presidential election odds
Who traders back to win the White House in 2028, with live prices for every listed candidate.
$719M traded · $504K in 24h
2028 Democratic nominee odds
Live prices on who becomes the Democratic nominee for president in 2028.
$1.3B traded · $83K in 24h
2028 Republican nominee odds
Live prices on who becomes the Republican nominee for president in 2028.
$717M traded · $495K in 24h
Champions League winner odds
Every club's chance to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League, priced live.
$61M traded · $517K in 24h
Super Bowl odds
Every NFL team's chance of winning the 2027 championship, with live prices.
$69M traded · $333K in 24h
Ballon d'Or 2026 odds
Live prices on who wins football's most famous individual award in 2026.
$66M traded · $3.3M in 24h
Bitcoin price prediction 2026
Live odds that Bitcoin reaches or dips to each price level before the end of 2026.
$78M traded · $95K in 24h
F1 drivers' championship odds
Each driver's chance of winning the 2026 Formula 1 world title, priced live.
$205M traded · $186K in 24h
Fed rate decision odds
What traders expect from the next Federal Reserve meeting: cut, hold or hike, with live prices.
$64M traded · $2.1M in 24h
Politics
Elections, nominations and who holds power. Ranked by 24-hour trading volume.
Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Student List – Students Win98%
- Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia2%
- Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!<0.1%
$8.9M traded · $3.1M in 24h
Israeli Legislative Election Winner
- Yashar69%
- Likud32%
- Together0.4%
$2.9M traded · $873K in 24h
Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Democratic Party92%
- Republican Party9%
$22M traded · $780K in 24h
Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
- Dejan Šoškić44%
- Ilija Srdanović17%
- Radomir Saičić2%
$2.7M traded · $618K in 24h
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Democrats Sweep66%
- R Senate, D House26%
- Republicans Sweep8%
$37M traded · $438K in 24h
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
- December 314%
- October 310.4%
$75M traded · $380K in 24h
Sports
Titles, awards and season-long futures. Ranked by 24-hour trading volume.
Worlds 2026: Winner
- Gen.G43%
- T114%
- Dplus KIA14%
$4.6M traded · $820K in 24h
NBA: 2027 Champion
- Oklahoma City Thunder25%
- San Antonio Spurs20%
- Philadelphia 76ers12%
$31M traded · $760K in 24h
United States Grand Prix: Driver Winner
- Kimi Antonelli76%
- Max Verstappen19%
- Charles Leclerc3%
$537K traded · $488K in 24h
EPL: 2027 Champion
- Arsenal65%
- Manchester City14%
- Liverpool7%
$24M traded · $318K in 24h
MLB World Series Champion 2026
- Milwaukee Brewers84%
- Tampa Bay Rays16%
$46M traded · $131K in 24h
Crypto
Price targets and market milestones. Ranked by 24-hour trading volume.
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
- Dip to $80,00090%
- Reach $82,50057%
- Dip to $77,50042%
$11M traded · $383K in 24h
What price will Bitcoin hit October 19-25?
- Dip to $80,00050%
- Reach $82,0006%
- Dip to $78,0002%
$1.9M traded · $273K in 24h
What price will Ethereum hit October 19-25?
- Dip to $2,30016%
- Reach $2,4008%
- Dip to $2,2001%
$899K traded · $221K in 24h
What price will Bitcoin hit on October 25?
- Dip to $80,00048%
- Reach $81,00044%
- Dip to $79,00010%
$175K traded · $175K in 24h
Bitcoin above ___ on October 26?
- 72,000>99%
- 74,000>99%
- 76,000>99%
$298K traded · $174K in 24h
Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $50M98%
- $100M98%
- $200M96%
$7.5M traded · $168K in 24h
Culture and other
Economy, tech, entertainment and everything else. Ranked by 24-hour trading volume.
Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?
- 320-33933%
- 340-35923%
- 300-31920%
$1.2M traded · $326K in 24h
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
- Yes22%
$4.2M traded · $254K in 24h
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
- ≤4740%
- 4817%
- 4911%
$3.7M traded · $241K in 24h
Elon Musk # tweets October 24 - October 26, 2026?
- 65-8945%
- 90-11445%
- 115-1399%
$321K traded · $238K in 24h
Michigan Senate Election Winner
- Abdul El-Sayed (D)72%
- Mike Rogers (R)28%
$2.6M traded · $216K in 24h
Texas Senate Election Winner
- James Talarico (D)64%
- Ken Paxton (R)37%
$6.2M traded · $209K in 24h