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Elon Musk tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026 odds

Polymarket traders make 320-339 the favorite for “Elon Musk tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026” at 33% (+13 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of 340-359 at 23%.

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Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Probability over the last 30 days

The top 4 outcomes right now.

Oct 17Oct 25
320-339340-359300-319360-379

All 18 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Show all 18 outcomes

Where this market stands

“Elon Musk tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026” is a Polymarket event with 18 open outcomes. 320-339 leads at 33%, ahead of 340-359 at 23%. 320-339 is up 13 points over the last 24 hours and up 25 points over the past week. Traders have put $1.2M through the event so far, including $326K in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on October 27, 2026.

Whale trades in this market

The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 20 12:00 PM ET to October 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.

Who is the favorite in Elon Musk tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?
320-339 is the favorite at 33%, followed by 340-359 at 23% and 300-319 at 20%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?
Polymarket traders give 320-339 a 33% chance, which is decimal odds of 3.03 (American +203): $1 staked on 320-339 returns about $3.03 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 13 points.

Related odds

Elon Musk # tweets October 24 - October 26, 2026?

  • 65-8946%
  • 90-11445%
  • 115-1399%

$321K traded · $238K in 24h

Elon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?

  • 300-31919%
  • 320-33917%
  • 280-29916%

$303K traded · $92K in 24h

Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026?

  • 280-29914%
  • 260-27914%
  • 300-31914%

$73K traded · $46K in 24h