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Super Bowl odds

Polymarket traders give San Francisco 49ers a 14% chance of winning the 2027 Super Bowl (−1.1 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of Buffalo Bills at 13%.

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Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Probability over the last 30 days

The top 4 outcomes right now.

Sep 26Oct 25
San Francisco 49ersBuffalo BillsKansas City ChiefsLos Angeles Rams

All 32 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Show all 32 outcomes

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

What this market asks

Which NFL team will win the 2027 league championship, the Super Bowl played at the end of the 2026 season? Each team has its own Yes/No market. The price is the market's implied probability that the team wins the title, so the prices across all teams add up to roughly 100%. Because the odds are spread across 32 teams, even the favorite usually sits well below an even chance, and several teams sit at fractions of a percent. The regular season is long, so prices change every week.

How it resolves and key dates

A team's market resolves to Yes if it wins the 2027 NFL championship. If it becomes impossible for a team to win under the league's rules, such as elimination from the playoffs, its market resolves to No. If the championship game is cancelled or postponed beyond March 31, 2027, or no winner is declared by then, the market resolves to Other. The official source is the NFL.

The path is a regular season, then a seven-team-per-conference playoff bracket, then the Super Bowl in early 2027. Only the top seed in each conference gets a first-round bye, which is why the final weeks of the regular season matter so much for odds.

What moves these odds

Injuries, above all at quarterback, are the biggest swing factor. A starter going down can cut a contender's price in half within hours. Weekly results and the standings race for playoff seeding come next, followed by trades, the strength of a team's remaining schedule and coaching changes.

Early in the season, prices are heavily driven by last year's results and offseason moves. As teams fall out of the playoff picture, their prices drift towards zero and the money concentrates on a smaller group of contenders.

Common questions

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When is the next Super Bowl?
The market covers the 2027 NFL championship, played in early 2027 at the end of the 2026 season. Polymarket resolves it by official NFL information, and sets a cutoff of March 31, 2027 for the game to be played.
How many teams make the NFL playoffs?
Seven per conference, 14 in total. Only the top seed in each conference gets a first-round bye.
What happens to a team's market when it misses the playoffs?
It resolves to No as soon as it is impossible for the team to win the championship, for example when it is eliminated or can no longer qualify.
Do these prices add up to 100%?
Roughly. Each team is a separate market, and only one team can win, so the prices combined should sit close to 100%. Small gaps come from trading spreads and rounding.
Who is the favorite in Pro Football: 2027 Champion?
San Francisco 49ers is the favorite at 14%, followed by Buffalo Bills at 13% and Kansas City Chiefs at 11%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Polymarket traders give San Francisco 49ers a 14% chance of winning the 2027 Super Bowl, which is decimal odds of 6.90 (American +590): $1 staked on San Francisco 49ers returns about $6.90 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved down 1.1 points.

Related odds

Also see Champions League winner odds and F1 drivers' championship odds.

Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion

  • Buffalo Bills24%
  • Kansas City Chiefs21%
  • Baltimore Ravens12%

$3.9M traded · $7,817 in 24h

Pro Football: NFC North Champion

  • Minnesota Vikings40%
  • Chicago Bears26%
  • Detroit Lions22%

$107K traded · $8,557 in 24h

Pro Football: Team to Make Postseason

  • San Francisco 49ers96%
  • Buffalo Bills88%
  • Minnesota Vikings83%

$254K traded · $7,329 in 24h