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United States Grand Prix: Driver Winner odds

Polymarket traders make Kimi Antonelli the favorite for “United States Grand Prix: Driver Winner” at 98% (+83 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of Charles Leclerc at 2%.

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Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Probability over the last 30 days

The top 4 outcomes right now.

Oct 3Oct 25
Kimi AntonelliCharles LeclercMax VerstappenLando Norris

All 23 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Show all 23 outcomes

Where this market stands

“United States Grand Prix: Driver Winner” is a Polymarket event with 23 open outcomes. Kimi Antonelli leads at 98%, ahead of Charles Leclerc at 2%. Kimi Antonelli is up 83 points over the last 24 hours and up 71 points over the past week. Traders have put $607K through the event so far, including $547K in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on November 1, 2026.

Whale trades in this market

The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

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How this market resolves

This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 25, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Nov 1, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

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Who is the favorite in United States Grand Prix: Driver Winner?
Kimi Antonelli is the favorite at 98%, followed by Charles Leclerc at 2% and Max Verstappen at 2%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?
Polymarket traders give Kimi Antonelli a 98% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.02 (American −4900): $1 staked on Kimi Antonelli returns about $1.02 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 83 points.

Related odds

United States Grand Prix: Driver Podium Finish

  • Charles Leclerc99%
  • Kimi Antonelli98%
  • Max Verstappen86%

$35K traded · $30K in 24h

United States Grand Prix: Driver Fastest Lap

  • Charles Leclerc90%
  • Yuki Tsunoda50%
  • Kimi Antonelli10%

$3,810 traded · $4,025 in 24h

Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?

  • Yes13%

$1,582 traded · $493 in 24h