What price will Bitcoin hit in October? Live odds
The most likely target still in play is “Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?”, which Polymarket traders price at 90% (unchanged in the last 24 hours), followed by “Reach $82,500” at 57%.
Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Probability over the last 30 days
The top 4 outcomes right now.
All 20 outcomes and their odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- 90%
Dip to $80,00090%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 1.12US −852Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 57%
Reach $82,50057%24h −5.0 ptsOdds 1.74US −135Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 42%
Dip to $77,50042%24h −2.0 ptsOdds 2.41US +141Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 23%
Reach $85,00023%24h −5.0 ptsOdds 4.44US +344Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 16%
Dip to $75,00016%24h −2.0 ptsOdds 6.45US +545Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 8%
Reach $87,5008%24h −2.0 ptsOdds 13.33US +1233Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 6%
Dip to $72,5006%24h −0.2 ptsOdds 16.00US +1500Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 4%
Reach $90,0004%24h −0.9 ptsOdds 26.67US +2567Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 3%
Dip to $70,0003%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 30.77US +2977Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 2%
Reach $92,5002%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 48.78US +4778Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 2%
Dip to $67,5002%24h +0.3 ptsOdds 54.05US +5305Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 1%
Reach $95,0001%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 80.00US +7900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 1%
Reach $97,5001%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 86.96US +8596Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 1%
Reach $100,0001%24h +0.1 ptsOdds 95.24US +9424Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 0.9%
Dip to $65,0000.9%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 117.65US +11665Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Show all 20 outcomesShow fewer outcomes
- 0.5%
Reach $105,0000.5%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 181.82US +18082Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 0.5%
Reach $102,5000.5%24h −0.3 ptsOdds 181.82US +18082Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 0.4%
Dip to $62,5000.4%24h −0.2 ptsOdds 222.22US +22122Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 0.4%
Dip to $60,0000.4%24h −0.1 ptsOdds 222.22US +22122Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - <0.1%
Reach $150,000<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Where this market stands
“What price will Bitcoin hit in October” is a Polymarket event with 20 open outcomes. The likeliest target still in play is Dip to $80,000 at 90%, ahead of Reach $82,500 at 57%; Dip to $80,000 is unchanged over the last 24 hours and unchanged over the past week. Traders have put $11M through the event so far, including $383K in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on November 1, 2026.
Whale trades in this market
The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

Predictandbreathe sold Yes at 25%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?

Impressive-Steak bought No at 85%
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?

0xf705…3ca7 sold No at 96%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?

justdance bought No at 57%
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?

UPbet bought No at >99%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?

Serene-Decision bought No at 96%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?

Excitable-Accelerant sold Yes at 43%
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?

Predictandbreathe sold No at 55%
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?

Egozic86 bought No at 77%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?

Egozic86 bought No at 43%
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?

Egozic86 bought No at 42%
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?

XRPisSH8T bought No at 92%
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?

Impressive-Steak bought No at 34%
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?

0xf705…3ca7 bought No at 34%
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?

0xf705…3ca7 bought No at 34%
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?

Excitable-Accelerant bought Yes at 37%
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?

Noteagle sold No at 67%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?

Egozic86 sold No at 68%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?

Egozic86 sold No at 68%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?

Impressive-Steak bought No at 84%
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?

Egozic86 sold No at 90%
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?

neutralwave23 sold No at 36%
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?

Intelligent-Length bought No at 97%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?

Predictandbreathe bought Yes at 29%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?

Tokor bought No at >99%
Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?

Easyprofit2 bought No at >99%
Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?

0xf705…3ca7 sold No at 96%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?

Tokor bought No at 51%
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?

Aveen sold No at 74%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?

boyau bought No at 95%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?
How this market resolves
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
Each outcome in this event has its own resolution rules. Read them on the Polymarket market page before you trade.
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.
- Which outcome is most likely in What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
- Among the targets still in play, the highest probabilities are: Dip to $80,000 (90%), Reach $82,500 (57%), Dip to $77,500 (42%). Each target is a separate market that resolves Yes if the price is touched.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?
- Polymarket currently prices Yes at 90%, which is decimal odds of 1.12 (American −852): $1 staked on Yes returns about $1.12 if the target is hit, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved by less than 0.1 points.
Related odds
What price will Bitcoin hit October 19-25?
- Dip to $80,00050%
- Reach $82,0006%
- Dip to $78,0002%
$1.9M traded · $273K in 24h
What price will Bitcoin hit on October 25?
- Dip to $80,00048%
- Reach $81,00044%
- Dip to $79,00010%
$175K traded · $175K in 24h
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- Reach $90,00048%
- Dip to $70,00040%
- Reach $95,00028%
$78M traded · $95K in 24h