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Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner odds

Polymarket traders make Student List – Students Win the favorite for “Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner” at 97% (+66 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia at 3%.

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Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Probability over the last 30 days

The top 4 outcomes right now.

Sep 26Oct 25
Student List – Students WinAleksandar Vučić – United SerbiaIvica Dačić – Factor of Stability!Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP)

All 10 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Where this market stands

“Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner” is a Polymarket event with 10 open outcomes. Student List – Students Win leads at 97%, ahead of Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia at 3%. Student List – Students Win is up 66 points over the last 24 hours and up 64 points over the past week. Traders have put $8.9M through the event so far, including $3.1M in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on October 25, 2026.

Whale trades in this market

The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

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How this market resolves

Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026.

This market will resolve to the electoral list that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Serbia as a result of this election.

Electoral lists will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more lists are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If lists remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the list that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named electoral list, as it appears on the ballot and official proclamations, regardless of which parties make up the list or how its members later organize themselves in the National Assembly.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

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Who is the favorite in Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner?
Student List – Students Win is the favorite at 97%, followed by Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia at 3% and Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! at <0.1%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Polymarket traders give Student List – Students Win a 97% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.03 (American −3025): $1 staked on Student List – Students Win returns about $1.03 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 66 points.

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