AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by odds
The highest-priced market in “AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by” is December 31, 2027 at 57% (+0.5 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of December 31, 2026 at 20%. Each market resolves on its own, so these prices do not have to add up to 100%.
Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Probability over the last 30 days
The top 2 outcomes right now.
All 2 outcomes and their odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- 57%
December 31, 202757%24h +0.5 ptsOdds 1.74US −135Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 20%December 31, 202620%24h +1.5 ptsOdds 5.13US +413Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Where this market stands
“AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by” is a Polymarket event with 2 open outcomes. December 31, 2027 has the highest price at 57%, ahead of December 31, 2026 at 20%. December 31, 2027 is up 0.5 points over the last 24 hours and down 4.0 points over the past week. Traders have put $501K through the event so far, including $14K in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on January 1, 2028.
Whale trades in this market
The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.
wienerdog bought Yes at 62%
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
wienerdog bought No at 85%
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
eCash bought No at 80%
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
purplegatto bought No at 77%
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
Cuddly-Pillar bought No at 28%
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
1dad bought No at 76%
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
Dragontree bought Yes at 73%
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
Woeful-Wrinkle-Approach bought No at 97%
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?
loopy2 bought Yes at 76%
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
Contentious-Dinnerdate sold Yes at 40%
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
delphilo bought Yes at 76%
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
Gdub bought No at 57%
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
rewardbots sold Yes at 80%
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
purplegatto bought No at 87%
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?
Mr-Krabs bought No at 83%
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?
seal7 bought Yes at 62%
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
Gdub bought Yes at 88%
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
paddaa bought No at 82%
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?
rewardbots sold Yes at 72%
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
Hollow-Bed bought No at 49%
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
GammaSqueeze1234 bought No at 78%
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?
Optimus- bought Yes at 53%
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
Rumpelstiltskin bought Yes at 72%
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
AiBird sold Yes at 68%
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
kl1v bought Yes at 92%
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
kl1v bought Yes at 52%
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?
seal7 bought Yes at 77%
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
theta-thunberg sold Yes at 81%
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
Rumpelstiltskin bought Yes at 54%
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
M2sx92kljs42 bought No at 71%
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab, or an official representative of an eligible AI lab, announces that the lab has solved any of the qualifying Millennium Prize Problems by 11:59 PM ET of the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The qualifying problems are the Riemann Hypothesis, P versus NP, the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem, the Hodge Conjecture, and the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required.
The eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
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- Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
- Polymarket currently prices Yes at 57% in this market, which is decimal odds of 1.74 (American −135): $1 staked on Yes returns about $1.74 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 0.5 points.
Related odds
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- No solution by Dec 31, 202742%
- Yang-Mills19%
- Hodge Conjecture16%
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OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
- December 31, 202753%
- December 31, 202615%
$1.1M traded · $79K in 24h
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