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OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by odds

The highest-priced market in “OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by” is December 31, 2027 at 53% (+2.0 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of December 31, 2026 at 15%. Each market resolves on its own, so these prices do not have to add up to 100%.

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Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Probability over the last 30 days

The top 2 outcomes right now.

Sep 27Oct 27
December 31, 2027December 31, 2026

All 2 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Where this market stands

“OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by” is a Polymarket event with 2 open outcomes. December 31, 2027 has the highest price at 53%, ahead of December 31, 2026 at 15%. December 31, 2027 is up 2.0 points over the last 24 hours and up 2.0 points over the past week. Traders have put $1.1M through the event so far, including $88K in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on January 1, 2028.

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI, or an official representative of OpenAI, announces that OpenAI has solved any of the qualifying Millennium Prize Problems between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The qualifying problems are the Riemann Hypothesis, P versus NP, the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem, the Hodge Conjecture, and the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify.

A qualifying announcement must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of OpenAI, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used OpenAI's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

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Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
Polymarket currently prices Yes at 53% in this market, which is decimal odds of 1.90 (American −111): $1 staked on Yes returns about $1.90 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 2.0 points.

Related odds

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

  • No solution by Dec 31, 202743%
  • Yang-Mills19%
  • Hodge Conjecture18%

$302K traded · $25K in 24h

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

  • December 31, 202757%
  • December 31, 202620%

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