M2sx92kljs42 has made $64K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #2,938 all time by profit, with 2.4M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 24, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$64K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 2.4M
- Portfolio value
- $202K
- Profit this month
- +$33K
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 90%
How M2sx92kljs42 has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 179 (90%) ended in profit and 21 in a loss, for +$117K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 75%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $153K together, the biggest is “Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?” (No) at 18% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
No · entry 39% · closed Oct 1, 2026
+$10K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
No · entry 46% · closed Aug 17, 2026
+$6,598
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
No · entry 37% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$6,486
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
No · entry 54% · closed Jun 1, 2026
+$6,369
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
No · entry 27% · closed Sep 1, 2026
+$6,291
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Yes · entry 13% · closed Mar 3, 2026
+$4,777
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?
No · entry 45% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$4,666
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
No · entry 60% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$4,656
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?
No · entry 41% · closed May 3, 2026
+$4,456
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
No · entry 1.0% · closed May 28, 2026
+$4,103
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?
No · entry 33% · closed May 9, 2026
−$14K
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?
No · entry 71% · closed Apr 5, 2026
−$5,126
Claude 4.7 released by May 31?
No · entry 43% · closed Apr 21, 2026
−$4,949
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?
No · entry 66% · closed Apr 5, 2026
−$4,342
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Yes · entry 16% · closed May 9, 2026
−$4,327
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
No · entry 35% · closed Sep 20, 2026
−$4,108
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
No · entry 72% · closed Mar 9, 2026
−$2,061
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by March 31, 2026?
No · entry 58% · closed Mar 4, 2026
−$1,731
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
No · entry 78% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$1,610
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?
Yes · entry 16% · closed Oct 4, 2026
−$1,482
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
No · entry 7%, now 91% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$27K
+$25K P&L
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 65%, now 95% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$15K
+$4,662 P&L
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31
No · entry 33%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$14K
+$9,024 P&L
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 18%, now 64% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$14K
+$9,850 P&L
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?
No · entry 80%, now 97% · ends Nov 16, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$13K
+$2,373 P&L
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes · entry 57%, now 69% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$11K
+$1,907 P&L
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 92%, now 90% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,898
−$192 P&L
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 68%, now 78% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,419
+$1,113 P&L
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
No · entry 78%, now 76% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,904
−$218 P&L
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes · entry 80%, now 94% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,580
+$1,000 P&L
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?
No · entry 41%, now 88% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,530
+$3,456 P&L
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
No · entry 66%, now 96% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,628
+$1,738 P&L
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?
No · entry 73%, now 70% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,211
−$266 P&L
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?
No · entry 82%, now 94% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,924
+$609 P&L
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 72%, now 86% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,236
+$681 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 60%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?
Bought Yes at 46%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?
Sold No at 95%
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
Sold No at 94%
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?
Bought No at 32%
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
Bought No at 53%
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?
Sold No at 93%
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Bought Yes at 79%
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30?
Bought Yes at 77%
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30?
Sold No at >99%
Turkey military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 50%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?
Bought Yes at 61%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?
Bought Yes at 72%
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
Bought Yes at 71%
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
Sold No at 93%
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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