rewardbots has made $76K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #2,500 all time by profit, with 4.3M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$76K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 4.3M
- Portfolio value
- $19K
- Profit this month
- +$26K
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 54%
How rewardbots has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 108 (54%) ended in profit and 92 in a loss, for +$41K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 41%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $16K together, the biggest is “Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?” (Yes) at 26% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?
No · entry 31% · closed Sep 1, 2026
+$9,266
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?
Yes · entry 12% · closed Oct 16, 2026
+$6,765
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?
No · entry 26% · closed Sep 12, 2026
+$5,462
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?
No · entry 23% · closed Aug 1, 2026
+$5,422
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
No · entry 7% · closed Sep 4, 2026
+$5,003
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?
Yes · entry 45% · closed Aug 15, 2026
+$4,417
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?
No · entry 19% · closed Aug 30, 2026
+$4,102
Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 26% · closed Sep 30, 2026
+$3,359
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 14% · closed Oct 23, 2026
+$3,212
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Yes · entry 23% · closed Jul 10, 2026
+$3,055
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes · entry 7% · closed Jul 31, 2026
−$3,991
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?
No · entry 14% · closed Sep 4, 2026
−$3,123
Will GPT-6 be released by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 60% · closed Sep 6, 2026
−$2,716
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?
Yes · entry 78% · closed Jul 24, 2026
−$2,511
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Yes · entry 22% · closed Jun 30, 2026
−$1,782
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 2% · closed Aug 1, 2026
−$1,736
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?
No · entry 42% · closed Sep 4, 2026
−$1,623
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes · entry 22% · closed Oct 1, 2026
−$1,555
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 8% · closed Oct 1, 2026
−$1,500
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs
Team Liquid · entry 38% · closed Aug 26, 2026
−$1,439
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
Yes · entry 49%, now 49% · ends Dec 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,232
−$46 P&L
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Yes · entry 71%, now 86% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,040
+$349 P&L
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
Yes · entry 53%, now 66% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,661
+$329 P&L
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
Yes · entry 40%, now 45% · ends Dec 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,202
+$125 P&L
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
Yes · entry 21%, now 25% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$877
+$140 P&L
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Yes · entry 25%, now 13% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$852
−$779 P&L
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes · entry 51%, now 68% · ends Jan 2, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$827
+$205 P&L
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?
Yes · entry 17%, now 24% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$812
+$213 P&L
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?
Yes · entry 12%, now 23% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$797
+$390 P&L
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
No · entry 23%, now 19% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$632
−$160 P&L
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 52%, now 64% · ends Dec 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$606
+$107 P&L
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes · entry 48%, now 28% · ends Jan 2, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$600
−$427 P&L
Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?
Yes · entry 18%, now 14% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$380
−$106 P&L
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?
Yes · entry 15%, now 4% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$327
−$874 P&L
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?
Yes · entry 11%, now 55% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$322
+$257 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 32%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought Yes at 32%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought Yes at 52%
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
Bought No at 16%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
Bought No at 22%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Bought No at 9%
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Sold No at 6%
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought No at 12%
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Sold No at 50%
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Sold No at 50%
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Sold Yes at 88%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Bought Yes at 10%
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026?
Bought Yes at 22%
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?
Bought Yes at 94%
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?
Bought Yes at 90%
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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