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theta-thunberg

theta-thunberg

0xb760…ccd7 · Joined July 4, 2025

#2,840 all time#3,830 this monthView on Polymarket

theta-thunberg has made $66K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #2,840 all time by profit, with 2.3M shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.

All-time realized profit
+$66K
All-time volume (shares)
2.3M
Portfolio value
$16K
Profit this month
+$3,090
Win rate (last 197 closed)
51%

How theta-thunberg has traded

Across the 197 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 100 (51%) ended in profit and 97 in a loss, for +$25K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 42%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $15K together, the biggest is “US imports Russian diesel by December 31?” (Yes) at 45% of that value.

Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

  • Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?

    No · entry 15% · closed Sep 30, 2026

    +$8,506

  • Will Andy Burnham – Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?

    No · entry 69% · closed Feb 27, 2026

    +$4,457

  • 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?

    Yes · entry 7% · closed Aug 4, 2026

    +$3,597

  • Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

    Yes · entry 24% · closed Jul 21, 2026

    +$3,214

  • Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

    Yes · entry 31% · closed Aug 14, 2026

    +$2,644

  • ChatGPT Outage by April 10?

    Yes · entry 17% · closed May 13, 2026

    +$2,205

  • Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

    No · entry 77% · closed May 22, 2026

    +$2,037

  • Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?

    No · entry 29% · closed Mar 21, 2026

    +$2,018

  • Starmer out by June 26, 2026?

    Yes · entry 41% · closed Jun 22, 2026

    +$1,904

  • Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?

    Yes · entry 61% · closed Jul 8, 2026

    +$1,856

Biggest losses

Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

  • Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

    Yes · entry 50% · closed Oct 2, 2026

    −$1,942

  • NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?

    Yes · entry 15% · closed Oct 23, 2026

    −$1,811

  • AWS service disrupted by March 31?

    No · entry 65% · closed Mar 24, 2026

    −$1,500

  • No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?

    No · entry 8% · closed Oct 2, 2026

    −$1,455

  • Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?

    No · entry 60% · closed Oct 2, 2026

    −$1,359

  • ChatGPT Outage by March 15?

    Yes · entry 64% · closed Mar 16, 2026

    −$1,223

  • US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?

    Yes · entry 20% · closed Aug 14, 2026

    −$1,219

  • Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

    No · entry 15% · closed Aug 14, 2026

    −$1,135

  • US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday?

    No · entry 90% · closed Feb 7, 2026

    −$1,074

  • Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?

    No · entry 27% · closed Oct 2, 2026

    −$1,063

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Recent trades

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

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