Optimus- has made $121K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #1,631 all time by profit, with 3.7M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$121K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 3.7M
- Portfolio value
- $88K
- Profit this month
- +$9,039
- Win rate (last 199 closed)
- 58%
How Optimus- has traded
Across the 199 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 115 (58%) ended in profit and 84 in a loss, for +$2,764 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 51%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $57K together, the biggest is “Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?” (No) at 29% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 28% · closed Aug 30, 2026
+$14K
Will Hims say "Collaboration" during earnings call?
Yes · entry 4% · closed Nov 4, 2025
+$9,497
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?
Yes · entry 45% · closed Oct 16, 2026
+$5,435
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?
Yes · entry 46% · closed Aug 13, 2026
+$4,036
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?
No · entry 34% · closed Feb 1, 2026
+$3,248
Will "New York" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
No · entry 1% · closed Jan 11, 2026
+$2,970
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
No · entry 88% · closed Jun 4, 2026
+$2,922
Will Texas Instruments (TXN) beat quarterly earnings?
No · entry 13% · closed Oct 22, 2025
+$2,773
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?
Yes · entry 70% · closed Aug 30, 2026
+$2,654
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Yes · entry 97% · closed Feb 2, 2026
+$2,487
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Dell say "PowerEdge / Power Edge" during earnings call?
No · entry 93% · closed Nov 26, 2025
−$9,093
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?
No · entry 59% · closed Aug 13, 2026
−$3,384
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
Yes · entry 75% · closed Oct 23, 2025
−$2,827
Will BSW win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?
Yes · entry 25% · closed Sep 7, 2026
−$2,785
Will Kai and Speed have 90 or more total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?
Yes · entry 39% · closed Aug 13, 2026
−$2,590
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 69% · closed Oct 2, 2026
−$2,440
Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?
Yes · entry 61% · closed Sep 7, 2026
−$1,940
Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?
Yes · entry 53% · closed Sep 7, 2026
−$1,932
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?
Yes · entry 76% · closed Oct 29, 2025
−$1,885
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Yes · entry 26% · closed Jun 13, 2026
−$1,835
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 50%, now 80% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$17K
+$6,279 P&L
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 88%, now 93% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,969
+$438 P&L
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
No · entry 88%, now 93% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,625
+$225 P&L
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 50%, now 20% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,221
−$6,279 P&L
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?
Yes · entry 51%, now 56% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,156
+$409 P&L
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?
Yes · entry 59%, now 64% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,009
+$217 P&L
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
Yes · entry 62%, now 66% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,826
+$143 P&L
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 88%, now 92% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,701
+$130 P&L
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
No · entry 50%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,942
+$921 P&L
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
No · entry 70%, now 83% · ends Jan 5, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,585
+$235 P&L
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 7%, now 7% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,424
−$76 P&L
Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by June 30, 2027?
Yes · entry 28%, now 53% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,347
+$623 P&L
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 64%, now 65% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,290
+$10 P&L
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 65%, now 98% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,242
+$416 P&L
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
Yes · entry 24%, now 13% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,146
−$1,061 P&L
Recent trades
Sold Yes at 98%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold No at 84%
Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?
Sold No at 84%
Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2027?
Sold Yes at 46%
Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by June 30, 2027?
Bought Yes at 44%
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?
Bought Yes at 65%
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Bought No at 31%
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?
Bought Yes at 44%
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?
Sold Yes at 46%
Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by June 30, 2027?
Sold Yes at 46%
Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by June 30, 2027?
Sold Yes at 46%
Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by June 30, 2027?
Sold Yes at 46%
Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by June 30, 2027?
Bought Yes at 44%
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?
Bought Yes at 44%
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?
Bought Yes at 65%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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