AiBird has made $123K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #1,610 all time by profit, with 261M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$123K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 261M
- Portfolio value
- $27K
- Profit this month
- −$5,912
- Win rate (last 196 closed)
- 63%
How AiBird has traded
Across the 196 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 123 (63%) ended in profit and 73 in a loss, for −$1,959 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 39%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $13K together, the biggest is “Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?” (Yes) at 19% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
No · entry 5% · closed Nov 5, 2025
+$23K
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?
Yes · entry 0.1% · closed Jun 3, 2025
+$22K
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 0.3% · closed Mar 19, 2025
+$14K
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?
Yes · entry 6% · closed Feb 12, 2025
+$12K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 8% · closed May 9, 2026
+$11K
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 0.5% · closed Feb 4, 2026
+$6,034
Will Trae Young lead the NBA in Assists?
Yes · entry 5% · closed Apr 2, 2025
+$5,755
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 0.4% · closed Jan 29, 2025
+$5,430
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 0.7% · closed Feb 12, 2026
+$5,343
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
Yes · entry 14% · closed Mar 14, 2025
+$5,093
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Yes · entry 88% · closed Oct 13, 2025
−$22K
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
No · entry >99% · closed Mar 19, 2025
−$16K
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?
No · entry 94% · closed May 31, 2025
−$10K
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?
Yes · entry 9% · closed Aug 14, 2026
−$3,014
Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?
No · entry 98% · closed Apr 16, 2025
−$2,856
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
No · entry >99% · closed Mar 19, 2025
−$2,495
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 7% · closed Sep 30, 2026
−$2,170
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?
Yes · entry 41% · closed Feb 22, 2025
−$1,989
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by June 30?
No · entry 84% · closed Jun 15, 2026
−$1,644
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
No · entry 91% · closed Jan 16, 2026
−$1,543
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
Yes · entry 14%, now 11% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,440
−$726 P&L
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 26%, now 14% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,249
−$1,859 P&L
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
No · entry 13%, now 11% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,132
−$225 P&L
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 96%, now 98% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,113
+$24 P&L
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?
No · entry 64%, now 73% · ends Nov 9, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$999
+$112 P&L
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
No · entry 44%, now 45% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$634
+$8 P&L
Will Joseph Woll record 4+ shutouts?
No · entry 76%, now 90% · ends Apr 30, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$581
+$88 P&L
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2027?
Yes · entry 13%, now 11% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$540
−$131 P&L
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 12%, now 9% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$531
−$205 P&L
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 3%, now 2% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$493
−$126 P&L
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?
Yes · entry 18%, now 18% · ends Jan 1, 2029
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$480
−$14 P&L
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 15%, now 17% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$454
+$43 P&L
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?
Yes · entry 11%, now 8% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$435
−$204 P&L
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?
Yes · entry 14%, now 11% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$418
−$138 P&L
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 11%, now 10% · ends Dec 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$410
−$80 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 98%
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?
Bought No at 98%
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 40%
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?
Bought Yes at 40%
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?
Bought Yes at 37%
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?
Bought Yes at 37%
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?
Bought Yes at 38%
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?
Bought Yes at 38%
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?
Bought No at 52%
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?
Bought No at 58%
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting?
Bought No at 72%
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?
Bought No at 76%
Will China’s CPI increase by ≤0.6% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?
Sold Yes at 31%
Jumper listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?
Bought No at 64%
Jumper listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?
Bought Yes at 34%
Jumper listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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