
wienerdog has made $16K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #9,784 all time by profit, with 2.5M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$16K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 2.5M
- Portfolio value
- $56K
- Profit this month
- +$125
- Win rate (last 198 closed)
- 54%
How wienerdog has traded
Across the 198 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 107 (54%) ended in profit and 91 in a loss, for +$21K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 39%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $51K together, the biggest is “US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?” (Yes) at 28% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will Navi Pillay win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Yes · entry 1% · closed Oct 9, 2026
+$12K

Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?
Yes · entry 73% · closed Sep 22, 2026
+$4,853

Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Yes · entry 1% · closed Oct 5, 2026
+$4,351

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 51% · closed Aug 16, 2026
+$3,852

Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
No · entry 29% · closed Aug 18, 2026
+$3,777

Trump renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026?
Yes · entry 43% · closed Aug 28, 2026
+$3,263

Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 43% · closed Aug 30, 2026
+$2,746

Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?
Yes · entry 11% · closed Aug 23, 2026
+$2,603

Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Yes · entry 1% · closed Oct 10, 2026
+$2,503

Iran full airspace closure by December 31?
No · entry 71% · closed Sep 5, 2026
+$2,501
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
No · entry 57% · closed Oct 9, 2026
−$5,461

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31?
Yes · entry 55% · closed Aug 1, 2026
−$4,815

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
Yes · entry 16% · closed Aug 8, 2026
−$4,813

Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August?
No · entry 23% · closed Aug 30, 2026
−$3,843

Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
No · entry 93% · closed Oct 9, 2026
−$3,842

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
Yes · entry 47% · closed Aug 16, 2026
−$3,813

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 68% · closed Sep 22, 2026
−$3,575

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?
No · entry 86% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$3,531

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?
No · entry 58% · closed Sep 29, 2026
−$3,395

Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
No · entry 97% · closed Oct 10, 2026
−$2,512
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes · entry 79%, now 84% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$14K
+$734 P&L

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
No · entry 62%, now >99% · ends Nov 5, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,178
+$2,695 P&L

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
Yes · entry 76%, now 83% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,108
+$516 P&L

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
Yes · entry 88%, now 90% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,272
+$72 P&L

US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?
No · entry 52%, now 51% · ends Nov 16, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,221
−$131 P&L

Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 89%, now 90% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,912
+$25 P&L

US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?
No · entry 42%, now 37% · ends Nov 9, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,569
−$331 P&L

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
No · entry 54%, now 59% · ends Nov 30, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,480
+$180 P&L

Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 33%, now >99% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$2,317
+$1,550 P&L

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 35%, now 37% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,701
+$66 P&L

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?
Yes · entry 60%, now 16% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,099
−$3,044 P&L

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?
Yes · entry 7%, now 7% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$624
+$25 P&L

Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
Yes · entry 36%, now 31% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$564
−$100 P&L

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?
No · entry 41%, now 44% · ends Nov 16, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$526
+$26 P&L

Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
No · entry 36%, now 30% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$510
−$102 P&L
Recent trades

Sold No at 90%
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?

Bought Yes at 36%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?

Bought Yes at 36%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?

Bought Yes at 36%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?

Sold Yes at 8%
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?
Bought No at 89%
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?

Bought No at 41%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?

Bought No at 54%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?

Bought Yes at 8%
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?

Sold No at 92%
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?
Sold No at 70%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?

Bought Yes at 7%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?
Sold No at 72%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
Sold No at 73%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
Sold No at 74%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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