1dad has made $406 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #126,511 all time by profit, with 191K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 5, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$406
- All-time volume (shares)
- 191K
- Portfolio value
- $119K
- Profit this month
- −$50
How 1dad has traded
Of the 4 largest open positions listed below, worth $119K together, the biggest is “Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?” (No) at 50% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?
No · entry >99% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$183

Bill Gates charged by June 30?
No · entry 95% · closed Jul 2, 2026
+$153

Will Artemis II launch by April 30?
Yes · entry 97% · closed Apr 2, 2026
+$98
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
No · entry 92%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$60K
+$2,701 P&L

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No · entry 84%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$56K
+$7,011 P&L

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 76%, now 81% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,093
+$183 P&L

USD0 depeg by December 31?
No · entry 94%, now 94% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$300
+$0 P&L
Recent trades

Bought No at 76%
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

Bought No at 94%
USD0 depeg by December 31?

Bought No at 95%
Bill Gates charged by June 30?
$228

Bought No at 95%
Bill Gates charged by June 30?
$1,715

Bought No at 95%
Bill Gates charged by June 30?
$112

Bought No at 95%
Bill Gates charged by June 30?
$190

Bought No at 95%
Bill Gates charged by June 30?
$589

Bought No at 95%
Bill Gates charged by June 30?
$69

Bought No at 92%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
$57K

Bought Yes at 97%
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?
$2,986

Bought Up at 27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
$21

Bought Up at 27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
$1

Bought Up at 27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
$4

Bought Up at 27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
$1

Bought No at 92%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
$389
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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