delphilo has made $8,697 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #17,006 all time by profit, with 425K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 9, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$8,697
- All-time volume (shares)
- 425K
- Portfolio value
- $6,392
- Profit this month
- −$1,430
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 82%
How delphilo has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 164 (82%) ended in profit and 36 in a loss, for +$12K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 63%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $5,986 together, the biggest is “Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?” (Yes) at 24% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 43% · closed Feb 28, 2026
+$1,073
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Yes · entry 74% · closed Mar 31, 2026
+$1,012
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 48% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$877
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?
No · entry 46% · closed May 3, 2026
+$716
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Yes · entry 21% · closed Jun 29, 2026
+$691
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?
No · entry 73% · closed May 1, 2026
+$689
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
No · entry 69% · closed Feb 1, 2026
+$630
Maduro out in 2025?
No · entry 78% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$591
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?
No · entry 81% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$465
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?
Yes · entry 72% · closed Mar 31, 2026
+$391
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
No · entry 89% · closed Apr 9, 2026
−$893
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
No · entry 91% · closed Jan 3, 2026
−$553
Will Trump win Florida by 12+ points?
No · entry 68% · closed Nov 20, 2024
−$506
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
No · entry 94% · closed Apr 11, 2026
−$458
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Yes · entry 5% · closed Dec 17, 2025
−$399
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 38% · closed Nov 6, 2024
−$263
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
No · entry 28% · closed Mar 18, 2026
−$232
Will Biden pardon Fauci?
No · entry 74% · closed Jan 20, 2025
−$200
Nothing Ever Happens: December
Yes · entry 92% · closed Jan 1, 2026
−$191
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?
Yes · entry 2% · closed Sep 30, 2025
−$183
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
Yes · entry 74%, now 57% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,437
−$423 P&L
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 51%, now 87% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$961
+$397 P&L
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Yes · entry 53%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$921
+$413 P&L
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 72%, now 97% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$571
+$145 P&L
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Yes · entry 75%, now 96% · ends Jan 5, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$513
+$113 P&L
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes · entry 66%, now 56% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$341
−$65 P&L
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 93%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$224
+$4 P&L
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Yes · entry 11%, now 9% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$198
−$48 P&L
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 37%, now 20% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$184
−$167 P&L
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?
No · entry 85%, now 93% · ends Jan 5, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$164
+$14 P&L
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
Yes · entry 82%, now 73% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$128
−$17 P&L
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes · entry 41%, now 34% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$106
−$24 P&L
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
No · entry 49%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$97
+$48 P&L
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027?
Yes · entry 47%, now 9% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$85
−$385 P&L
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes · entry 10%, now 39% · ends Jan 2, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$56
+$42 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 68%
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
Bought Yes at 68%
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
Bought Yes at 93%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?
Bought Yes at 28%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027?
Bought Yes at 47%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027?
Bought Yes at 95%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?
Bought Yes at 81%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?
Bought Yes at 27%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027?
Bought Yes at 26%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027?
Bought Yes at 47%
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027?
Bought Yes at 64%
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
Bought Yes at 81%
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 81%
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 81%
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 45%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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