
Contentious-Dinnerdate
0x7365…64da · Joined September 22, 2025
Contentious-Dinnerdate has made $104K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #1,890 all time by profit, with 3.7M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$104K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 3.7M
- Portfolio value
- $70K
- Profit this month
- +$3,226
- Win rate (last 199 closed)
- 81%
How Contentious-Dinnerdate has traded
Across the 199 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 162 (81%) ended in profit and 37 in a loss, for +$58K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 64%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $41K together, the biggest is “Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?” (Yes) at 16% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?
Yes · entry 29% · closed Sep 4, 2026
+$5,574

Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?
Yes · entry 25% · closed Sep 30, 2026
+$4,809

Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 57% · closed Sep 4, 2026
+$4,765

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?
No · entry >99% · closed Sep 1, 2026
+$4,583

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 29% · closed Aug 14, 2026
+$4,461

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
Yes · entry 61% · closed Oct 23, 2026
+$3,497

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Yes · entry 92% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$3,281

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
Yes · entry 7% · closed Jul 27, 2026
+$3,201

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026?
Yes · entry 32% · closed Sep 4, 2026
+$3,108

Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 75% · closed Sep 4, 2026
+$2,781
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 54% · closed Sep 5, 2026
−$1,918

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 67% · closed Oct 16, 2026
−$1,917

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 11% · closed Oct 1, 2026
−$1,777

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Yes · entry 18% · closed Jun 1, 2026
−$1,566

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Jun 30, 2026
−$1,317

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?
No · entry 9% · closed Jul 1, 2026
−$1,270

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Yes · entry 85% · closed Apr 30, 2026
−$1,176

Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 10% · closed Jun 1, 2026
−$1,087

GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 21% · closed Jun 16, 2026
−$1,071

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
Yes · entry 89% · closed Sep 4, 2026
−$975
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Yes · entry 82%, now 86% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,412
+$243 P&L

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes · entry 35%, now 36% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,771
+$130 P&L

Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Yes · entry 49%, now 60% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,435
+$760 P&L

Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 74%, now 82% · ends Dec 16, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,161
+$394 P&L

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?
Yes · entry 31%, now 92% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,488
+$1,644 P&L

Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Google by December 31?
No · entry 98%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,295
−$5 P&L

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?
Yes · entry 19%, now 19% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,161
+$52 P&L

Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 69%, now 81% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,111
+$296 P&L

Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 72%, now 73% · ends Nov 30, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,948
+$2 P&L

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 14%, now 9% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,836
−$843 P&L

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Yes · entry 13%, now 9% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,782
−$955 P&L

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
No · entry 78%, now 83% · ends Jan 5, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,642
+$92 P&L

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 79%, now 94% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,576
+$246 P&L

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 87%, now >99% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,498
+$188 P&L

Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 76%, now 89% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,473
+$216 P&L
Recent trades

Sold Yes at 42%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?

Bought Yes at 19%
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?

Sold Yes at 47%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?

Bought Yes at 87%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 87%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 87%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 82%
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

Bought Yes at 20%
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?

Bought Yes at 74%
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?

Sold Yes at 47%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?

Sold Yes at 48%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?

Sold Yes at 47%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?

Sold Yes at 48%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?

Sold Yes at 48%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?

Sold Yes at 48%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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