Woeful-Wrinkle-Approach
0xe41a…29bd · Joined August 6, 2026
Woeful-Wrinkle-Approach has made $1,626 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #61,405 all time by profit, with 417K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 27, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$1,626
- All-time volume (shares)
- 417K
- Portfolio value
- $159K
- Profit this month
- +$125
- Win rate (last 121 closed)
- 81%
How Woeful-Wrinkle-Approach has traded
Across all 121 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 98 (81%) ended in profit and 23 in a loss, for +$1,024 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 79%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $45K together, the biggest is “Will the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026?” (Yes) at 9% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 17% · closed Sep 20, 2026
+$332

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 24% · closed Oct 8, 2026
+$229

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 96% · closed Sep 21, 2026
+$217

Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 72% · closed Oct 4, 2026
+$212

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
No · entry >99% · closed Oct 14, 2026
+$192

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?
No · entry 91% · closed Oct 26, 2026
+$189

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No · entry 65% · closed Sep 29, 2026
+$180

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
No · entry 83% · closed Sep 4, 2026
+$160

Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?
No · entry 53% · closed Sep 1, 2026
+$140

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 92% · closed Sep 9, 2026
+$130
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?
No · entry 84% · closed Oct 4, 2026
−$910

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 71% · closed Sep 14, 2026
−$869

Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?
No · entry 56% · closed Sep 17, 2026
−$560

Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 40% · closed Oct 8, 2026
−$202

Trump renames AI by September 30?
No · entry 31% · closed Oct 1, 2026
−$178

Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?
Yes · entry 58% · closed Oct 1, 2026
−$174

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Over/Under 28%?
Under · entry 16% · closed Sep 21, 2026
−$165

Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?
No · entry 20% · closed Aug 25, 2026
−$101

Will Left Party (V) win at least 9% of all valid votes?
Yes · entry 12% · closed Sep 20, 2026
−$92

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?
Yes · entry 26% · closed Sep 24, 2026
−$78
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 96%, now 97% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,253
+$65 P&L

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 82%, now 83% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,125
+$35 P&L

Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 95%, now 95% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,045
+$6 P&L

Will the Democratic Party win the WA-01 House seat?
Yes · entry 95%, now 96% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,116
+$32 P&L

Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 96%, now 98% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,968
+$59 P&L

Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat?
Yes · entry 93%, now 96% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,952
+$113 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 97%, now 96% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,885
−$11 P&L

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes · entry 93%, now 97% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,708
+$94 P&L

Will the Republican Party win the AL-03 House seat?
Yes · entry 95%, now 98% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,678
+$77 P&L

Will the Democratic Party win the MA-06 House seat?
Yes · entry 95%, now 96% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,676
+$47 P&L

Will the Democratic Party win the MT-02 House seat?
No · entry 95%, now 98% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,619
+$75 P&L

Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 96%, now 98% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,557
+$48 P&L

Will the Democratic Party win the WA-08 House seat?
Yes · entry 94%, now 98% · ends Nov 5, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,481
+$103 P&L

Will the Republican Party win the IL-14 House seat?
No · entry 94%, now 97% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,449
+$84 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 97%, now 97% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,448
+$6 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 97%
Will the Republican Party win the MT-02 House seat?
Bought Yes at 97%
Will the Republican Party win the MT-02 House seat?
Bought Yes at 97%
Will the Republican Party win the MT-02 House seat?
Bought Yes at 97%
Will the Republican Party win the MT-02 House seat?

Bought No at 92%
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Bought Yes at 97%
Will the Republican Party win the MT-02 House seat?

Bought Yes at 27%
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Bought Yes at 27%
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Bought Yes at 27%
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Bought Yes at 27%
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Bought Yes at 27%
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Bought Yes at 27%
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Bought Yes at 27%
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Bought Yes at 27%
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Bought Yes at 27%
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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