Skip to content
WhaleSays
Open Polymarket

2026 Arizona Governor Race odds

Polymarket traders make Katie Hobbs (D) the favorite for “Arizona Governor Election Winner” at 94% (unchanged in the last 24 hours), ahead of Andy Biggs (R) at 7%.

Start trading on PolymarketAffiliate link · 18+ · trading involves riskView this market on Polymarket

Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Probability over the last 30 days

The top 2 outcomes right now.

Oct 2Nov 1
Katie Hobbs (D)Andy Biggs (R)

All 2 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Where this market stands

“Arizona Governor Election Winner” is a Polymarket event with 2 open outcomes. Katie Hobbs (D) leads at 94%, ahead of Andy Biggs (R) at 7%. Katie Hobbs (D) is unchanged over the last 24 hours and up 2.0 points over the past week. Traders have put $575K through the event so far, including $41K in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on November 4, 2026.

Whale trades in this market

The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

All whale trades

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.

Who is the favorite in Arizona Governor Election Winner?
Katie Hobbs (D) is the favorite at 94%, followed by Andy Biggs (R) at 7%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?
Polymarket traders give Katie Hobbs (D) a 94% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.07 (American −1438): $1 staked on Katie Hobbs (D) returns about $1.07 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved by less than 0.1 points.

Related odds

Ohio Governor Election Winner

  • Amy Acton (D)81%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy (R)20%

$1.7M traded · $209K in 24h

Arizona Governor Election: Maricopa County Winner

  • Katie Hobbs (D)95%
  • Andy Biggs (R)5%

$19K traded · $245 in 24h

AZ-06 House Election Winner

  • JoAnna Mendoza (D)89%
  • Juan Ciscomani (R)11%

$43K traded · $2,910 in 24h