Pondermint has made $110K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #1,782 all time by profit, with 11M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$110K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 11M
- Portfolio value
- $200K
- Profit this month
- +$795
- Win rate (last 197 closed)
- 54%
How Pondermint has traded
Across the 197 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 107 (54%) ended in profit and 90 in a loss, for −$11K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 65%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $194K together, the biggest is “Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?” (Yes) at 33% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 46% · closed Nov 8, 2024
+$127K

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Yes · entry 99% · closed Aug 6, 2024
+$57K

Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines
Michigan Wolverines · entry 77% · closed Mar 30, 2026
+$12K

Ethereum above $2,400 on September 13?
Yes · entry 40% · closed Sep 14, 2024
+$11K

Ethereum above $2,400 on September 20?
Yes · entry 33% · closed Sep 20, 2024
+$9,575

Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Nov 9, 2024
+$7,385

Will the Director of Secret Service be fired/resign?
Yes · entry 66% · closed Jul 24, 2024
+$7,035

Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines
Michigan Wolverines · entry 82% · closed Apr 7, 2026
+$5,369

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Yes · entry 74% · closed Nov 12, 2024
+$5,102

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
Yes · entry 85% · closed Apr 22, 2026
+$4,474
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Yes · entry 67% · closed Aug 8, 2024
−$45K

Rabois Parlay: Trump wins PA, MI, GA and AZ?
No · entry 66% · closed Jan 1, 2025
−$17K

Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 51% · closed Nov 8, 2024
−$16K

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Yes · entry 52% · closed May 20, 2026
−$14K

Kash Patel out by June 30?
Yes · entry 55% · closed Jul 2, 2026
−$8,710

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Yes · entry 43% · closed May 12, 2026
−$8,335

Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Yes · entry 43% · closed Aug 8, 2024
−$6,465

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
No · entry 40% · closed May 20, 2026
−$4,558

Will Roy Cooper be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Yes · entry 23% · closed Aug 6, 2024
−$4,171

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
Yes · entry 46% · closed Apr 24, 2026
−$3,985
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 92%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$64K
−$124 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 76%, now 82% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$33K
+$2,403 P&L

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No · entry 92%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$27K
−$230 P&L

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
No · entry 92%, now 93% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$19K
+$70 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
No · entry 78%, now 82% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$12K
+$578 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 67%, now 67% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,975
−$96 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 68%, now 69% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,590
+$17 P&L

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Yes · entry 26%, now 22% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,981
−$994 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 92%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,372
−$2 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 64%, now 64% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,175
−$25 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 64%, now 63% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,976
−$52 P&L

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 75%, now 75% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,639
−$13 P&L

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 10%, now 9% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,388
−$108 P&L

Kash Patel out by December 31?
Yes · entry 76%, now 21% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,108
−$3,008 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 68%, now 68% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,012
−$12 P&L
Recent trades

Sold Yes at 22%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Sold Yes at 22%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Bought Yes at 67%
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?

Sold Yes at 22%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Bought Yes at 65%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Sold Yes at 80%
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-10 House seat?

Sold No at 65%
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Sold Yes at 22%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Sold No at 68%
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Sold No at 68%
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Sold Yes at 68%
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Sold Yes at 66%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Bought No at 64%
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Sold Yes at 66%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Sold Yes at 68%
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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