
HilelTheElder
0x7d23…c660 · Joined March 6, 2026
HilelTheElder has made $4,263 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #29,473 all time by profit, with 398K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$4,263
- All-time volume (shares)
- 398K
- Portfolio value
- $89K
- Profit this month
- −$1,180
- Win rate (last 37 closed)
- 86%
How HilelTheElder has traded
Across all 37 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 32 (86%) ended in profit and 5 in a loss, for +$6,871 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 76%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $88K together, the biggest is “Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?” (Yes) at 42% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
No · entry 88% · closed May 1, 2026
+$1,999

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
No · entry 95% · closed Apr 6, 2026
+$985

Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Yes · entry 90% · closed Apr 30, 2026
+$745

Netanyahu out by March 31?
No · entry 96% · closed Apr 6, 2026
+$581

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No · entry 88% · closed Apr 23, 2026
+$359

Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Yes · entry 63% · closed Jul 9, 2026
+$264

Will France win on 2026-06-26?
Yes · entry 62% · closed Jun 26, 2026
+$227

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
No · entry 98% · closed Apr 6, 2026
+$211

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
No · entry 99% · closed Apr 6, 2026
+$204

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 99% · closed Oct 5, 2026
+$123
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Apr 23, 2026
−$68

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?
Yes · entry 70% · closed Jun 22, 2026
−$56

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Yes · entry 95% · closed May 14, 2026
−$15

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
Yes · entry 48% · closed Jun 28, 2026
−$5

Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?
Yes · entry 19% · closed Jun 28, 2026
−$1
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 89%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$36K
+$936 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 89%, now 91% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,282
+$160 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 94%, now 96% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,751
+$116 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 83%, now 81% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,805
−$180 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 94%, now 93% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,349
−$50 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 89%, now 85% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,833
−$285 P&L

Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?
Yes · entry 90%, now 87% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,306
−$117 P&L

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 75%, now 75% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,980
−$20 P&L

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes · entry 96%, now 97% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,898
+$10 P&L

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes · entry 60%, now 54% · ended Jun 3, 2026
$2,688
−$319 P&L

Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 96%, now 94% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,424
−$53 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 87%, now 86% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,371
−$34 P&L

Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Yes · entry 89%, now 89% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,805
−$6 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 79%, now 80% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,548
+$18 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 91%, now 91% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$996
−$10 P&L
Recent trades

Bought Yes at 87%
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
Bought Yes at 91%
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?

Bought Yes at 89%
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Bought Yes at 87%
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 3%
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?

Bought Yes at 87%
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Bought Yes at 90%
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?

Bought Yes at 89%
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Bought Yes at 89%
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Bought Yes at 96%
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 91%
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 92%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Bought Yes at 94%
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 89%
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 79%
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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