Arizona Governor Election: Maricopa County Winner odds
Polymarket traders make Katie Hobbs (D) the favorite for “Arizona Governor Election: Maricopa County Winner” at 95% (unchanged in the last 24 hours), ahead of Andy Biggs (R) at 5%.
Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Probability over the last 30 days
The top 2 outcomes right now.
All 2 outcomes and their odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- 95%
Katie Hobbs (D)95%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 1.05US −1823Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 5%
Andy Biggs (R)5%24h +0.6 ptsOdds 19.42US +1842Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Where this market stands
“Arizona Governor Election: Maricopa County Winner” is a Polymarket event with 2 open outcomes. Katie Hobbs (D) leads at 95%, ahead of Andy Biggs (R) at 5%. Katie Hobbs (D) is unchanged over the last 24 hours and up 6.8 points over the past week. Traders have put $19K through the event so far, including $245 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on November 3, 2026.
Whale trades in this market
The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.
mrworldwide bought Yes at 91%
Will the Democrats win Maricopa County in the Arizona governor race in 2026?
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Maricopa County in the general election for Governor of Arizona, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Arizona, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Maricopa County.
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
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- Who is the favorite in Arizona Governor Election: Maricopa County Winner?
- Katie Hobbs (D) is the favorite at 95%, followed by Andy Biggs (R) at 5%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
- Will the Democrats win Maricopa County in the Arizona governor race in 2026?
- Polymarket traders give Katie Hobbs (D) a 95% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.05 (American −1823): $1 staked on Katie Hobbs (D) returns about $1.05 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved by less than 0.1 points.
