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Biggest Polymarket wins: $11.4M on a single bet

The biggest single win we found on Polymarket: $11,447,931 by zxgngl on “Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?” (Yes), bought at 61% and settled Nov 6, 2024.

We ranked the individual positions of the top 100 traders by all-time profit. The top 25 wins start at $3.0M, and the biggest single loss is $7.6M by DEEDDIT. Press-reported totals, like the French whale's $85 million-plus, add up many positions and accounts, so they are not single bets.

Top 25 wins combined
$131.6M
Median return on the top 25
+101%
Bought under 30¢ (of 25)
1 of 25
Settled in 2026 (of 25)
13 of 25

Based on 25 positions from 19 wallets. The median entry price on these wins was 50%, and 12 of the 25 are from the 2024 US presidential election.

Start trading on PolymarketAffiliate link · 18+ · trading involves riskSee what copying top traders would have made

· Data from the Polymarket Data API · Past results do not predict future ones.

Top 25 biggest single wins on Polymarket

One row is one position: one outcome of one market, held by one wallet. Entry is the average price paid per share, and ROI is profit divided by the money put in.

  1. 1

    Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes

    zxgngl

    +$11.4M
    Entry 61%Put in $18.0MROI +64%Nov 6, 2024
    View market on Polymarket (affiliate link)
  2. 2

    Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes

    Fredi9999

    +$9.7M
    Entry 54%Put in $13.7MROI +71%Nov 6, 2024
    View market on Polymarket (affiliate link)
  3. 3

    Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? · Yes

    Theo4

    +$8.3M
    Entry 37%Put in $4.8MROI +171%Nov 12, 2024
    View market on Polymarket (affiliate link)
  4. 4

    Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? · No

    mintblade

    +$7.2M
    Entry 50%Put in $7.1MROI +101%Jun 16, 2026
    View market on Polymarket (affiliate link)
  5. 5

    Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? · No

    Theo4

    +$6.0M
    Entry 37%Put in $3.6MROI +167%Nov 12, 2024
    View market on Polymarket (affiliate link)
  6. 6

    France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · Spain

    DEEDDIT

    +$5.9M
    Entry 46%Put in $5.0MROI +119%Jul 14, 2026
    View market on Polymarket (affiliate link)
  7. 7

    Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes

    walletmobile

    +$5.9M
    Entry 62%Put in $9.9MROI +60%Nov 6, 2024
    View market on Polymarket (affiliate link)
  8. 8

    Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes

    Theo4

    +$5.8M
    Entry 60%Put in $8.9MROI +65%Nov 6, 2024
    View market on Polymarket (affiliate link)
  9. 9

    Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? · No

    frostrizz

    +$5.8M
    Entry 54%Put in $6.9MROI +85%Jun 20, 2026
    View market on Polymarket (affiliate link)
  10. 10

    Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? · No

    GRIMDRIP

    +$4.9M
    Entry 50%Put in $5.0MROI +98%Jun 18, 2026
    View market on Polymarket (affiliate link)
  11. 11

    Spread: Spain (-2.5) · Cabo Verde

    fishalive

    +$4.6M
    Entry 45%Put in $3.8MROI +122%Jun 15, 2026
    View market on Polymarket (affiliate link)
  12. 12

    Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · No

    sparklingwater123

    +$4.6M
    Entry 60%Put in $6.9MROI +67%Jun 26, 2026
    View market on Polymarket (affiliate link)
  13. 13

    Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17? · Yes

    blackwall

    +$4.5M
    Entry 47%Put in $4.0MROI +113%Feb 18, 2026
    View market on Polymarket (affiliate link)
  14. 14

    Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes

    GCottrell93

    +$4.4M
    Entry 66%Put in $8.8MROI +51%Nov 6, 2024
    View market on Polymarket (affiliate link)
  15. 15

    Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · No

    lovelystuff

    +$4.3M
    Entry 63%Put in $7.2MROI +60%May 30, 2026
    View market on Polymarket (affiliate link)
  16. 16

    Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · No

    fishalive

    +$4.3M
    Entry 9%Put in $436KROI +987%Jun 15, 2026
    View market on Polymarket (affiliate link)
  17. 17

    Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? · Yes

    Len9311238

    +$4.2M
    Entry 41%Put in $2.9MROI +145%Nov 12, 2024
    View market on Polymarket (affiliate link)
  18. 18

    Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? · No

    BAREFLUX

    +$4.0M
    Entry 45%Put in $3.3MROI +121%Jun 25, 2026
    View market on Polymarket (affiliate link)
  19. 19

    Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? · Yes

    RepTrump

    +$4.0M
    Entry 38%Put in $2.4MROI +162%Nov 12, 2024
    View market on Polymarket (affiliate link)
  20. 20

    Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? · Yes

    Fredi9999

    +$3.7M
    Entry 32%Put in $1.7MROI +213%Nov 12, 2024
    View market on Polymarket (affiliate link)
  21. 21

    Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw? · Yes

    DEEDDIT

    +$3.7M
    Entry 34%Put in $1.9MROI +190%Jul 7, 2026
    View market on Polymarket (affiliate link)
  22. 22

    Will France win on 2026-07-14? · No

    DEEDDIT

    +$3.7M
    Entry 64%Put in $6.4MROI +57%Jul 14, 2026
    View market on Polymarket (affiliate link)
  23. 23

    Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17? · No

    beachboy4

    +$3.4M
    Entry 49%Put in $3.3MROI +105%Jan 17, 2026
    View market on Polymarket (affiliate link)
  24. 24

    Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes

    PrincessCaro

    +$3.2M
    Entry 54%Put in $5.1MROI +63%Nov 6, 2024
    View market on Polymarket (affiliate link)
  25. 25

    Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes

    RandomGenius-190

    +$3.0M
    Entry 58%Put in $4.3MROI +72%Nov 6, 2024
    View market on Polymarket (affiliate link)

The 10 biggest single losses

The same traders have the biggest losses too. Positions marked not redeemed settled at zero and were never cleared by the trader; Polymarket still lists them as open, so we read those as well.

  1. 1

    Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? · Yes

    DEEDDIT

    −$7.6M
    Entry 49%Put in $7.6MROI −100%Jul 11, 2026
    View market on Polymarket (affiliate link)
  2. 2

    France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 · Over

    muchobliged

    −$5.2M
    Entry 50%Put in $5.1MROI −100%Jul 9, 2026 · not redeemed
    View market on Polymarket (affiliate link)
  3. 3

    Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28? · Yes

    beachboy4

    −$4.2M
    Entry 65%Put in $4.2MROI −100%Jan 29, 2026
    View market on Polymarket (affiliate link)
  4. 4

    Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20? · Yes

    beachboy4

    −$3.7M
    Entry 58%Put in $3.7MROI −100%Jan 21, 2026
    View market on Polymarket (affiliate link)
  5. 5

    Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-20? · Yes

    beachboy4

    −$3.7M
    Entry 72%Put in $3.7MROI −100%Jan 21, 2026
    View market on Polymarket (affiliate link)
  6. 6

    Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? · Yes

    zxgngl

    −$3.6M
    Entry 33%Put in $3.6MROI −100%Nov 16, 2024 · not redeemed
    View market on Polymarket (affiliate link)
  7. 7

    Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-01-18? · Yes

    beachboy4

    −$3.1M
    Entry 62%Put in $3.1MROI −100%Jan 19, 2026
    View market on Polymarket (affiliate link)
  8. 8

    Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes

    lovelystuff

    −$3.1M
    Entry 45%Put in $3.0MROI −100%May 30, 2026 · not redeemed
    View market on Polymarket (affiliate link)
  9. 9

    Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? · No

    BAREFLUX

    −$2.9M
    Entry 43%Put in $2.9MROI −100%Jun 27, 2026
    View market on Polymarket (affiliate link)
  10. 10

    Spread: Morocco (-1.5) · Haiti

    BAREFLUX

    −$2.7M
    Entry 51%Put in $2.7MROI −100%Jun 27, 2026
    View market on Polymarket (affiliate link)

Biggest all-time profits

This is a different list: each trader's total result over all their bets, as ranked by Polymarket, not a single position. See the full Polymarket leaderboard for the top 50 and this month's leaders.

  1. 1Theo4+$22.0M
  2. 2swisstony+$18.4M
  3. 3Fredi9999+$16.6M
  4. 4RN1+$13.3M
  5. 5kch123+$11.3M
  6. 6BreakTheBank+$10.6M
  7. 7mintblade+$9.1M
  8. 8fishalive+$8.9M
  9. 9frostrizz+$8.8M
  10. 10Len9311238+$8.7M
  11. 11sparklingwater123+$8.3M
  12. 12zxgngl+$7.8M
  13. 13RepTrump+$7.5M
  14. 14GRIMDRIP+$7.5M
  15. 15DEEDDIT+$7.4M
  16. 16endlessFate+$7.2M
  17. 17PrincessCaro+$6.0M
  18. 18walletmobile+$5.9M
  19. 19beachboy4+$5.8M
  20. 20KeyTransporter+$5.7M

Famous Polymarket wins in the news

Five cases that drew press coverage. Figures in the first paragraph of each are as reported by the cited outlet, not our own data. The line labeled In our data comes from the tables above. Big profits do not show that anyone broke a rule; for unusual-activity cases see our insider trading radar.

November 2024

Trump's 2024 election win and the “French whale”

After Donald Trump won the US presidential election, Bloomberg reported on November 7, 2024, citing research by the blockchain-analytics firm Chainalysis, that one trader's profit had risen to more than $85 million, up from an earlier estimate of $48 million, across as many as 11 accounts. CBS News's 60 Minutes later reported on the trader it called the French whale, who made over $80 million using several accounts.

Sources: Bloomberg Law, November 7, 2024; CBS News, 60 Minutes

In our data. Our table lists one wallet at a time, so no single row matches the press totals. 12 of the top 25 wins are 2024 US presidential election positions; the biggest is $11.4M by zxgngl (#1).

June 15, 2026

Cabo Verde holds Spain to a 0–0 draw

World Cup debutant Cabo Verde drew 0–0 with tournament favorite Spain. CoinDesk reported on June 16, 2026 that a wallet named fishalive, created earlier that month, turned about $4 million into a profit of roughly $9 million by betting that Spain would not win and that Cabo Verde would stay within 2.5 goals. Another account lost nearly $1 million backing Spain when the market priced it at about 92%. CoinDesk said onchain observers were asking whether it was luck or inside information, and did not establish either.

Sources: CoinDesk, June 16, 2026

In our data. The wallet named fishalive has 2 of the top 25 wins: $4.6M on “Spread: Spain (-2.5)” (Cabo Verde), #11; $4.3M on “Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?” (No), #16. Polymarket's own profit figures add up to $8.9M.

January 2026

The bet on Maduro's capture

NPR reported on January 5, 2026 that a Polymarket account created only weeks earlier turned a stake of about $32,000 into more than $400,000 of profit. The account had bet, hours before the US operation, that Nicolás Maduro would be out of power by the end of January. The report did not establish that anyone used inside information, and noted that the CFTC, which oversees Polymarket, did not respond to requests for comment.

Sources: NPR, via KAXE, January 5, 2026

In our data. At this size it would not make our top 25: the 25th biggest win in our data is $3.0M.

February 2026

kch123 and Super Bowl LX

The onchain analytics firm Lookonchain reported, as relayed by ChainCatcher on February 9, 2026, that the trader kch123 won all five of their bets around Super Bowl LX for about $1.8 million in a single day. The biggest, on the Seahawks to cover a 4.5-point spread, made roughly $987,000 in profit, and the report put the trader's total profits above $11 million. These are Lookonchain's figures, not ours.

Sources: ChainCatcher, citing Lookonchain, February 9, 2026

In our data. On Polymarket's all-time profit board, kch123 is #5 with $11.3M.

February 28, 2026

Fresh wallets before the Iran strikes

The Block reported on February 28, 2026, citing the analytics firm Bubblemaps, that six Polymarket wallets, most created and funded within 24 hours of the attack, bought Yes on “US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?” hours before the US and Israeli airstrikes. The Block reported a combined profit of about $1 million, and its own tally of the wallets' profit and loss figures was $989,191. Bubblemaps flagged the wallets as suspected insiders, and its chief executive said certainty about insider knowledge is almost impossible in cases like this.

Sources: The Block, February 28, 2026

In our data. At this size it would not make our top 25: the 25th biggest win in our data is $3.0M.

How we calculate this

Source. Positions and the all-time profit board come from the Polymarket Data API (see also the Polymarket docs). We scan the top 100 traders by all-time profit; 100 of 100 were read successfully, and any that failed are skipped.

What we rank. For each trader we read their best and worst closed positions plus their best and worst settled positions that were never redeemed, then rank all of them by profit or loss. If a trader could hold more entries above the cut-off, we read deeper. The result is the top 25 wins and the 10 biggest losses.

Columns. Profit or loss is Polymarket's own figure for the position. Put in is shares bought × average buy price. ROI is profit ÷ put in. Entry is the average buy price per share, which is also the market's implied probability. Date is the last activity on the position: the final sale or redemption, or the last trade if it settled unredeemed.

Limits

  • Only the top 100 wallets by all-time profit are scanned. A bigger single win by a trader outside that group would be missing.
  • One person can run several wallets, and a trader who bought both sides of a market has two positions, so rows are not people.
  • Positions on markets Polymarket has archived may not be listed.
  • Press totals, such as the French whale's, combine accounts and are not comparable with a single position.
  • A big profit is not evidence of skill or of wrongdoing. Past results do not predict future ones.

Questions about big Polymarket wins

Want to follow these traders? See what copying them would have made, open any trader profile or watch live whale trades.

Curious about suspiciously timed bets? Read the insider trading radar. New here? Start with the beginner guide.

What is the biggest win ever on Polymarket?
In our data it is $11,447,931, made by zxgngl on “Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?” (Yes), bought at an average of 61% and settled Nov 6, 2024. That is the largest single position among the top 100 traders by all-time profit. Larger totals in the press, such as more than $85 million attributed to the French whale (Bloomberg, citing Chainalysis, November 2024), add up many positions across as many as 11 accounts.
Who has made millions on Polymarket?
Polymarket's all-time profit board is led by Theo4 ($22.0M), swisstony ($18.4M), Fredi9999 ($16.6M). Each profile on WhaleSays shows that trader's biggest wins, biggest losses and open positions.
What are the biggest bets on Polymarket?
Among the positions in the tables on this page, the largest amount put into one position was $18,022,784, by zxgngl on “Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?” (Yes). It made $11,447,931. Bigger stakes may exist on positions that were not among the biggest results, so treat this as the largest we listed, not a record.
What is the biggest loss on Polymarket?
In our data it is $7,663,237, lost by DEEDDIT on “Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?” (Yes). Some of the biggest losses are on positions that settled at zero and were never redeemed, which Polymarket lists as open rather than closed, so we read both.
Do most Polymarket traders make money?
No. A November 2024 Decrypt report, based on Dune dashboards, found that 86% of accounts had a negative realized profit and loss. The traders on this page are the extreme end of the distribution, and they also hold the biggest losses.
How is this ranking calculated?
We scan the top 100 traders by all-time profit on Polymarket and rank their individual positions by profit or loss, using Polymarket's Data API. A position is one outcome of one market held by one wallet. Details and limits are in the method box. If you want to see what mirroring top traders would have returned, try the copy trading simulator.

Curious how it feels to trade?

Opening a Polymarket account takes a few minutes. WhaleSays is independent; signing up through our links costs you nothing extra. Most traders lose money, and you can lose what you put in.

Start trading on PolymarketAffiliate link · 18+ · trading involves risk

Sources: the Polymarket Data API v2 for positions and leaderboards; the press reports linked in each story above; and Decrypt, November 7, 2024 for the share of losing accounts. WhaleSays is not affiliated with Polymarket and none of this is financial advice.