18in36out has made $6,740 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #20,506 all time by profit, with 402K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 24, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$6,740
- All-time volume (shares)
- 402K
- Portfolio value
- $145K
- Profit this month
- +$1,299
- Win rate (last 35 closed)
- 94%
How 18in36out has traded
Across all 35 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 33 (94%) ended in profit and 2 in a loss, for +$6,494 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 91%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $145K together, the biggest is “Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?” (Yes) at 39% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 88% · closed Oct 19, 2026
+$2,490
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 97% · closed Oct 5, 2026
+$893
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?
No · entry 93% · closed Oct 16, 2026
+$515
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
No · entry 85% · closed Oct 15, 2026
+$380
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
No · entry 66% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$358
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
No · entry 98% · closed Aug 1, 2026
+$246
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?
No · entry 99% · closed Aug 23, 2026
+$233
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?
No · entry 93% · closed Sep 1, 2026
+$202
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No · entry 96% · closed Oct 1, 2026
+$168
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?
No · entry 93% · closed Aug 15, 2026
+$144
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 43% · closed Aug 26, 2026
−$57
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?
No · entry 60% · closed Oct 17, 2026
−$2
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 82%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$56K
+$5,635 P&L
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
No · entry 92%, now 93% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$20K
+$110 P&L
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No · entry 98%, now 98% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$19K
−$107 P&L
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
No · entry >99%, now 99% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$12K
−$38 P&L
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No · entry 95%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,450
+$0 P&L
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026
No · entry 97%, now 98% · ends Dec 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,537
+$90 P&L
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?
No · entry >99%, now >99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,525
+$25 P&L
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No · entry 96%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,079
+$29 P&L
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No · entry >99%, now >99% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,552
−$2 P&L
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 95%, now 90% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,639
−$91 P&L
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
No · entry 94%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,284
−$26 P&L
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?
Yes · entry 55%, now 64% · ends Jan 1, 2030
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,079
+$155 P&L
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 89%, now 94% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$499
+$24 P&L
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027?
No · entry 73%, now 71% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$292
−$8 P&L
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?
No · entry >99%, now >99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$102
+$0 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at >99%
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Bought No at >99%
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Sold No at >99%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
Bought No at >99%
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Bought Yes at 92%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Bought No at 95%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Bought No at >99%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
Bought No at >99%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
Bought No at 81%
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?
Bought No at 94%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Bought No at >99%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
Bought No at >99%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
Bought No at 95%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Bought No at >99%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
Bought No at >99%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
More to explore: full leaderboard, live whale trades, events with live odds and how to start.