SAPolitcsSeer has made $64K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #2,942 all time by profit, with 3.0M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 27, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$64K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 3.0M
- Portfolio value
- $445K
- Profit this month
- +$2,140
- Win rate (last 83 closed)
- 92%
How SAPolitcsSeer has traded
Across all 83 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 76 (92%) ended in profit and 7 in a loss, for +$67K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 95%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 37 of the 83 are about politics and elections, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $340K together, the biggest is “Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?” (Yes) at 23% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No · entry 91% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$18K

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
No · entry 94% · closed May 4, 2026
+$11K

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
No · entry 92% · closed Oct 2, 2026
+$6,155

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
No · entry 95% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$5,461

Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Yes · entry 97% · closed Jun 11, 2026
+$3,012

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 75% · closed Jul 29, 2026
+$2,981

Netanyahu out by April 30?
No · entry 97% · closed May 4, 2026
+$2,502

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
No · entry 89% · closed Aug 16, 2026
+$1,250

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
No · entry 97% · closed May 18, 2026
+$1,056

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Yes · entry 80% · closed Jun 15, 2026
+$1,000
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Yes · entry 98% · closed May 28, 2026
−$2,249

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
No · entry 97% · closed Apr 12, 2026
−$1,531

Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
No · entry >99% · closed Jun 3, 2026
−$1,503

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
No · entry 93% · closed Apr 5, 2026
−$830

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
No · entry 97% · closed Apr 16, 2026
−$77

Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 95% · closed Oct 3, 2026
−$53

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
No · entry 86% · closed Apr 5, 2026
−$38
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 86%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$79K
+$4,815 P&L

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
No · entry 95%, now >99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$31K
+$1,413 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
No · entry 95%, now 93% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$29K
−$750 P&L

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes · entry 83%, now 96% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$25K
+$3,433 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 94%, now 93% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$22K
−$276 P&L

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 97%, now >99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$21K
+$490 P&L

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
No · entry 95%, now 97% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$21K
+$421 P&L

Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 94%, now 97% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$20K
+$589 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 95%, now 96% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$19K
+$287 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 95%, now 96% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$16K
+$188 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 92%, now 91% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$15K
−$168 P&L

Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 94%, now 94% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$11K
+$8 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 93%, now 91% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$11K
−$280 P&L

Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 90%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$10K
+$257 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 95%, now 96% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,972
+$92 P&L
Recent trades

Bought Yes at 96%
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-01 House seat?

Bought Yes at 96%
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-01 House seat?

Bought Yes at 96%
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-01 House seat?

Bought Yes at 96%
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-01 House seat?

Bought Yes at 93%
Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 93%
Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 93%
Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 93%
Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 93%
Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 93%
Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 93%
Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 96%
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-01 House seat?

Bought Yes at 96%
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-01 House seat?

Bought Yes at 96%
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-01 House seat?

Bought Yes at 96%
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-01 House seat?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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