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WhaleSays

SAPolitcsSeer

0xa30e…49d5 · Joined March 27, 2026

#2,942 all time#4,883 this monthView on Polymarket

SAPolitcsSeer has made $64K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #2,942 all time by profit, with 3.0M shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Oct 27, 2026.

All-time realized profit
+$64K
All-time volume (shares)
3.0M
Portfolio value
$445K
Profit this month
+$2,140
Win rate (last 83 closed)
92%

How SAPolitcsSeer has traded

Across all 83 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 76 (92%) ended in profit and 7 in a loss, for +$67K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 95%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 37 of the 83 are about politics and elections, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $340K together, the biggest is “Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?” (Yes) at 23% of that value.

Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

  • Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

    No · entry 91% · closed Jul 1, 2026

    +$18K

  • Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

    No · entry 94% · closed May 4, 2026

    +$11K

  • Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

    No · entry 92% · closed Oct 2, 2026

    +$6,155

  • Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

    No · entry 95% · closed Jul 1, 2026

    +$5,461

  • Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

    Yes · entry 97% · closed Jun 11, 2026

    +$3,012

  • Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

    Yes · entry 75% · closed Jul 29, 2026

    +$2,981

  • Netanyahu out by April 30?

    No · entry 97% · closed May 4, 2026

    +$2,502

  • US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?

    No · entry 89% · closed Aug 16, 2026

    +$1,250

  • Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

    No · entry 97% · closed May 18, 2026

    +$1,056

  • US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

    Yes · entry 80% · closed Jun 15, 2026

    +$1,000

Biggest losses

Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

  • Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

    Yes · entry 98% · closed May 28, 2026

    −$2,249

  • US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

    No · entry 97% · closed Apr 12, 2026

    −$1,531

  • Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

    No · entry >99% · closed Jun 3, 2026

    −$1,503

  • US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

    No · entry 93% · closed Apr 5, 2026

    −$830

  • US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

    No · entry 97% · closed Apr 16, 2026

    −$77

  • Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?

    Yes · entry 95% · closed Oct 3, 2026

    −$53

  • US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

    No · entry 86% · closed Apr 5, 2026

    −$38

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Recent trades

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

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