
twe2nty
0xdd5c…0c2a · Joined October 21, 2025
twe2nty is down $13K in realized results on Polymarket, with 5.7M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$13K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 5.7M
- Portfolio value
- $386K
- Profit this month
- −$533
- Win rate (last 189 closed)
- 69%
How twe2nty has traded
Across the 189 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 130 (69%) ended in profit and 59 in a loss, for −$18K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 71%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $365K together, the biggest is “Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?” (No) at 70% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No · entry 52% · closed May 11, 2026
+$11K

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No · entry 66% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$8,553

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
No · entry 90% · closed Feb 1, 2026
+$8,154

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
No · entry 25% · closed Jan 3, 2026
+$7,295

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
No · entry 98% · closed Feb 1, 2026
+$6,366

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 90% · closed Sep 21, 2026
+$5,970

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
No · entry 65% · closed Feb 14, 2026
+$4,573

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
No · entry 79% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$3,428

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
No · entry 86% · closed May 1, 2026
+$3,260

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
No · entry 89% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$3,179
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
No · entry 65% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$21K

Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
No · entry 62% · closed Jan 5, 2026
−$19K

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
No · entry 76% · closed Mar 4, 2026
−$18K

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
No · entry 41% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$10K

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Yes · entry 90% · closed Dec 6, 2025
−$7,135

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
No · entry 62% · closed Mar 1, 2026
−$6,154

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
No · entry 75% · closed May 9, 2026
−$5,387

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
No · entry 70% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$5,155

Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
Yes · entry 78% · closed Dec 30, 2025
−$3,885

Lighter Airdrop on December 30?
No · entry 19% · closed Dec 30, 2025
−$3,745
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 50%, now 80% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$254K
+$95K P&L

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 50%, now 20% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$64K
−$95K P&L

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
No · entry 60%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,557
+$2,652 P&L

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No · entry 82%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,489
+$1,198 P&L

Trump out as President before 2027?
No · entry 84%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,205
+$614 P&L

Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch?
No · entry 88%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,530
+$391 P&L

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No · entry 76%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,011
+$733 P&L

Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch?
No · entry 96%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,517
+$85 P&L

Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027?
No · entry 39%, now 56% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,383
+$1,032 P&L

Ostium FDV above $500M one day after launch?
No · entry 95%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,097
+$67 P&L

Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
No · entry 76%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,071
+$452 P&L

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
No · entry 81%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,817
+$303 P&L

Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 24%, now 89% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,801
+$1,318 P&L

Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 39%, now 16% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,636
−$2,369 P&L

Ostium FDV above $2B one day after launch?
No · entry 97%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,535
+$18 P&L
Recent trades

Sold No at 2%
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?

Sold No at 6%
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?

Sold No at 3%
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?

Sold No at 31%
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?

Sold No at 29%
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?

Sold No at 30%
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?

Bought No at 25%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?

Bought No at 39%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?

Bought No at 51%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Bought No at 0.4%
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Bought No at 95%
Ostium FDV above $75M one day after launch?

Bought No at 95%
Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Bought No at 95%
Ostium FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Sold No at 99%
Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Sold No at >99%
Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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