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Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Live odds

Polymarket traders put the chance of Yes at 2% and No at 98% for “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027” (Yes −0.2 pts in the last 24 hours).

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Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Chance of Yes over the last 30 days

Price of a Yes share.

Sep 26Oct 25

Yes and No odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Where this market stands

“Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027” is a Polymarket market with two outcomes. Yes is priced at 2% and No at 98%; Yes is down 0.2 points over the last 24 hours and up 0.1 points over the past week. Traders have put $36M through the market so far, including $59K in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on January 1, 2027.

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.

An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

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Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Polymarket currently prices Yes at 2% (decimal odds 40.82, American +3982) and No at 98% (decimal odds 1.03, American −3982). The price of a Yes share is the market's implied probability that this happens.
When does this market close?
The listed end date is January 1, 2027. Read the resolution rules on this page to see what counts and who decides.

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