CP-directional
0x07e1…27af · Joined May 22, 2026
CP-directional is down $756 in realized results on Polymarket, with 558K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$756
- All-time volume (shares)
- 558K
- Portfolio value
- $51K
- Profit this month
- +$4,441
- Win rate (last 146 closed)
- 94%
How CP-directional has traded
Across all 146 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 137 (94%) ended in profit and 9 in a loss, for +$4,660 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 96%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $51K together, the biggest is “Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?” (No) at 29% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
No · entry 95% · closed Sep 1, 2026
+$493
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?
No · entry 92% · closed Oct 1, 2026
+$366
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
No · entry 98% · closed Aug 1, 2026
+$359
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 94% · closed Oct 9, 2026
+$357
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?
No · entry 97% · closed Oct 1, 2026
+$336
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
No · entry 96% · closed Aug 16, 2026
+$302
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
No · entry 96% · closed Sep 1, 2026
+$282
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
No · entry 97% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$219
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?
No · entry 97% · closed Aug 16, 2026
+$188
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?
No · entry 97% · closed Sep 3, 2026
+$178
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
No · entry 94% · closed Jun 9, 2026
−$1,704
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
No · entry 93% · closed Jul 25, 2026
−$639
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
No · entry 98% · closed Jun 21, 2026
−$237
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 33% · closed Jul 25, 2026
−$205
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
No · entry 90% · closed Sep 9, 2026
−$40
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Yes · entry 70% · closed Jun 16, 2026
−$13
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
No · entry 98% · closed Oct 23, 2026
−$4
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 85% · closed Oct 20, 2026
−$2
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Yes · entry 78% · closed Jun 8, 2026
−$1
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No · entry 93%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$15K
+$250 P&L
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No · entry 93%, now 94% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,527
+$7 P&L
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
No · entry 95%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,345
+$58 P&L
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 95%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,243
+$36 P&L
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
No · entry 98%, now >99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,332
+$60 P&L
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
No · entry 91%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,159
+$59 P&L
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No · entry 97%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,878
+$25 P&L
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 93%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,604
+$83 P&L
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?
No · entry 94%, now 94% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,436
+$16 P&L
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?
No · entry 96%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,410
−$15 P&L
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
No · entry 94%, now 99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,101
+$101 P&L
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
No · entry 96%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,312
+$12 P&L
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 90%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,017
+$17 P&L
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes · entry 63%, now 66% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$897
+$34 P&L
Iran leadership change by October 31?
No · entry 98%, now >99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$711
+$11 P&L
Recent trades
Sold No at 91%
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?
Sold No at 96%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Sold No at 96%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Sold No at 96%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Sold No at 96%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Sold No at 72%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Sold No at 96%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Sold No at 96%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Sold No at 98%
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Sold No at 95%
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Sold No at 96%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Sold No at 96%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Sold No at 91%
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Sold No at 91%
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Sold No at 96%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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