keribit has made $108K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #1,823 all time by profit, with 10.0M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$108K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 10.0M
- Portfolio value
- $230K
- Profit this month
- +$1,432
- Win rate (last 198 closed)
- 86%
How keribit has traded
Across the 198 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 171 (86%) ended in profit and 27 in a loss, for +$20K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 85%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 5 largest open positions listed below, worth $230K together, the biggest is “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” (No) at 44% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
Yes · entry 91% · closed Feb 24, 2025
+$27K
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
Yes · entry 70% · closed Mar 14, 2025
+$16K
US military action against Iran before July?
Yes · entry 51% · closed Jun 22, 2025
+$7,443
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?
No · entry 94% · closed Feb 24, 2025
+$6,891
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
Yes · entry 75% · closed Dec 5, 2024
+$5,009
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?
Yes · entry 79% · closed Jan 22, 2025
+$3,630
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
No · entry 96% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$3,160
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?
No · entry 94% · closed Mar 22, 2025
+$3,002
US military action against Iran in April?
No · entry 93% · closed May 2, 2025
+$2,806
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?
No · entry 89% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$2,482
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
Yes · entry 12% · closed Jan 1, 2026
−$28K
Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?
Yes · entry 32% · closed Mar 14, 2025
−$9,657
Israel military action against Iran before July?
No · entry 74% · closed Jul 9, 2025
−$5,038
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
No · entry 96% · closed Apr 24, 2025
−$4,637
Will Bitcoin dip to $106k in October?
No · entry 85% · closed Mar 18, 2026
−$4,248
Israel military action against Iran by Friday?
No · entry 84% · closed Mar 18, 2026
−$4,220
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?
No · entry 78% · closed Jul 5, 2025
−$2,850
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?
No · entry 77% · closed Jul 9, 2025
−$2,546
Will Bitcoin dip to $104k in October?
No · entry 83% · closed Mar 18, 2026
−$2,500
Trump imposes 100% tariff on China before July?
No · entry 90% · closed Apr 9, 2025
−$2,311
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No · entry 90%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$102K
+$7,688 P&L
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
No · entry 94%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$62K
+$1,280 P&L
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 92%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$29K
+$944 P&L
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
No · entry 95%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$27K
+$778 P&L
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
No · entry 97%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,750
+$25 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 97%
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Bought No at 97%
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Bought No at 97%
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Bought No at 97%
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Bought No at 97%
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Bought No at 97%
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Bought No at 97%
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Bought No at 97%
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Bought No at 97%
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Bought No at 97%
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Bought No at 97%
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Bought No at 98%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Bought No at 97%
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Bought No at 98%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Bought No at 98%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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