tetrase has made $963K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #191 all time by profit, with 117M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$963K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 117M
- Portfolio value
- $1.0M
- Profit this month
- +$88K
- Win rate (last 198 closed)
- 72%
How tetrase has traded
Across the 198 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 142 (72%) ended in profit and 56 in a loss, for +$92K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 69%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $684K together, the biggest is “Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?” (No) at 20% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 49% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$298K
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 0.1% · closed Jun 4, 2026
+$162K
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Yes · entry 4% · closed Mar 10, 2026
+$77K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 71% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$75K
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
No · entry 0.2% · closed May 1, 2026
+$54K
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Yes · entry >99% · closed May 1, 2026
+$54K
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
No · entry 0.1% · closed Jun 4, 2026
+$50K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Yes · entry >99% · closed May 9, 2026
+$43K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No · entry 0.1% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$41K
Trump renames AI by September 30?
Yes · entry 69% · closed Sep 29, 2026
+$38K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
Yes · entry 39% · closed Jul 27, 2026
−$136K
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
No · entry 74% · closed Jun 15, 2026
−$45K
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
No · entry 64% · closed Jun 15, 2026
−$43K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 23% · closed Jun 1, 2026
−$37K
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
No · entry >99% · closed Jun 4, 2026
−$37K
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?
Yes · entry 42% · closed Oct 2, 2026
−$33K
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 70% · closed Jun 1, 2026
−$30K
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Yes · entry 99% · closed Jun 8, 2026
−$26K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Yes · entry 30% · closed Jun 8, 2026
−$22K
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Yes · entry >99% · closed May 1, 2026
−$22K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?
No · entry 99%, now >99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$135K
+$761 P&L
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 83%, now 81% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$70K
−$2,228 P&L
Trump out as President before 2027?
No · entry 95%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$57K
−$261 P&L
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
No · entry 94%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$54K
+$937 P&L
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?
No · entry 98%, now >99% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$48K
+$814 P&L
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?
No · entry 96%, now >99% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$47K
+$1,499 P&L
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
No · entry 86%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$44K
+$4,758 P&L
Plague pandemic in 2026?
No · entry 95%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$43K
+$1,126 P&L
US recession by end of 2026?
No · entry 86%, now 92% · ends Jan 31, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$37K
+$2,397 P&L
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%?
No · entry 99%, now >99% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$37K
+$288 P&L
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes · entry 54%, now 75% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$27K
+$7,582 P&L
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 98%, now >99% · ended Nov 1, 2026
$27K
+$558 P&L
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
No · entry 75%, now 86% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$21K
+$2,527 P&L
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?
No · entry 93%, now 94% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$19K
+$332 P&L
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
No · entry 91%, now 93% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$19K
+$239 P&L
Recent trades
Sold Yes at 1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
Sold Yes at 1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
Bought No at 99%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
Sold Yes at 1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
Sold Yes at 1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
Bought No at 99%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
Bought No at 99%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
Bought No at 99%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
Bought No at 99%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
Sold Yes at 67%
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?
Sold Yes at 65%
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?
Sold Yes at 63%
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?
Bought No at 95%
Trump out as President before 2027?
Bought No at 89%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
Bought No at 90%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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