Spherical-Doc
0xf5c4…0926 · Joined November 17, 2025
Spherical-Doc has made $73K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #2,601 all time by profit, with 3.7M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 24, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$73K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 3.7M
- Portfolio value
- $128K
- Profit this month
- −$798
- Win rate (last 199 closed)
- 67%
How Spherical-Doc has traded
Across the 199 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 133 (67%) ended in profit and 66 in a loss, for +$75K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 69%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 12 largest open positions listed below, worth $128K together, the biggest is “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” (No) at 45% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 89% · closed Jan 28, 2026
+$10K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Jul 21, 2026
+$9,179
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No · entry 81% · closed Jun 2, 2026
+$8,701
Over $70M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
No · entry 32% · closed Dec 21, 2025
+$8,541
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
No · entry 91% · closed May 1, 2026
+$7,738
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
No · entry 73% · closed May 12, 2026
+$6,788
Over $100M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
No · entry 41% · closed Dec 21, 2025
+$5,972
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
No · entry 92% · closed Jun 1, 2026
+$5,727
No airdrop in 2025?
No · entry 78% · closed Dec 30, 2025
+$4,918
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
No · entry 90% · closed May 31, 2026
+$4,371
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
No · entry 98% · closed Jul 21, 2026
−$9,640
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
Yes · entry 12% · closed Dec 30, 2025
−$6,570
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Yes · entry 26% · closed Jul 1, 2026
−$5,830
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
No · entry 33% · closed Jan 3, 2026
−$5,076
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes · entry 62% · closed Oct 3, 2026
−$4,774
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Yes · entry 88% · closed Apr 1, 2026
−$2,880
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?
No · entry 73% · closed Feb 16, 2026
−$2,029
Ranger FDV above $20M one day after launch?
Yes · entry 45% · closed Jan 15, 2026
−$1,942
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Yes · entry 86% · closed Dec 30, 2025
−$1,879
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
No · entry 76% · closed Sep 7, 2026
−$1,876
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No · entry 88%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$58K
+$5,390 P&L
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 93%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$27K
−$450 P&L
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
No · entry 68%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$13K
+$3,750 P&L
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 88%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$12K
+$1,131 P&L
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 82%, now 81% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$12K
−$217 P&L
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
No · entry 91%, now 91% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,119
−$12 P&L
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes · entry 71%, now 82% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,298
+$167 P&L
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
Yes · entry 78%, now >99% · ended Oct 23, 2026
$994
+$214 P&L
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 88%, now 94% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$405
+$27 P&L
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 90%, now 85% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$383
−$21 P&L
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No · entry 42%, now 72% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$320
+$133 P&L
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 50%, now 12% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$268
−$893 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 97%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Bought Yes at 78%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
Bought Yes at 78%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
Bought Yes at 78%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
Bought No at 91%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
Bought Yes at 90%
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 90%
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 90%
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 90%
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 89%
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 24%
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?
Sold Yes at 77%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Bought Yes at 80%
Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?
Bought No at 99%
Will there be no Codex weekly usage limit reset in the week of October 5?
Bought Yes at 71%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
More to explore: full leaderboard, live whale trades, events with live odds and how to start.