ScottyNooo has made $928K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #209 all time by profit, with 148M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$928K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 148M
- Portfolio value
- $560K
- Profit this month
- −$191K
- Win rate (last 198 closed)
- 42%
How ScottyNooo has traded
Across the 198 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 84 (42%) ended in profit and 114 in a loss, for +$8,095 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 45%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 99 of the 198 are about politics and elections, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $381K together, the biggest is “Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?” (Yes) at 25% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Yes · entry 90% · closed Feb 28, 2026
+$477K
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
No · entry 0.1% · closed Dec 20, 2025
+$416K
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Yes · entry 54% · closed Mar 4, 2026
+$245K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Yes · entry 1% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$233K
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Yes · entry 0.1% · closed Jan 5, 2026
+$227K
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Yes · entry 0.4% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$203K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes · entry 16% · closed Oct 16, 2026
+$195K
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
No · entry 0.1% · closed Dec 6, 2025
+$174K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Feb 1, 2026
+$170K
US government shutdown Saturday?
No · entry 0.1% · closed Feb 4, 2026
+$155K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Yes · entry 60% · closed Nov 20, 2025
−$483K
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
No · entry 31% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$315K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
No · entry >99% · closed Jan 1, 2026
−$226K
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
No · entry >99% · closed Jan 5, 2026
−$223K
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Yes · entry 99% · closed Dec 24, 2025
−$186K
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Yes · entry 96% · closed Dec 6, 2025
−$178K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 55% · closed May 1, 2026
−$176K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
No · entry >99% · closed Apr 24, 2026
−$175K
US government shutdown Saturday?
Yes · entry 98% · closed Feb 4, 2026
−$154K
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
No · entry 76% · closed Feb 1, 2026
−$154K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes · entry 59%, now 54% · ended Jun 3, 2026
$95K
−$9,061 P&L
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 48%, now 98% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$44K
+$23K P&L
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes · entry 45%, now 65% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$37K
+$11K P&L
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 59%, now 67% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$32K
+$3,739 P&L
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 74%, now 94% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$32K
+$6,483 P&L
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 5%, now 7% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$23K
+$6,847 P&L
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 23%, now 20% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$21K
−$2,847 P&L
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 3%, now 4% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$18K
+$4,157 P&L
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 48%, now 65% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$14K
+$3,399 P&L
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Yes · entry 31%, now 27% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$13K
−$2,477 P&L
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes · entry 68%, now 76% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$12K
+$1,284 P&L
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Yes · entry 85%, now 73% · ended Sep 14, 2026
$11K
−$1,816 P&L
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 63%, now 61% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$10K
−$393 P&L
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No · entry 52%, now 65% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$10K
+$1,957 P&L
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 45%, now 40% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,717
−$1,081 P&L
Recent trades
Sold No at >99%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Sold Yes at 74%
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Sold No at 94%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Sold No at 98%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Sold No at 98%
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Sold No at 97%
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
Sold No at 98%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Sold No at 98%
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Sold No at 99%
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
Sold No at >99%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Sold No at >99%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Sold No at >99%
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Sold No at >99%
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Sold No at 92%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Sold Yes at 91%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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