DFK has made $41K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #4,327 all time by profit, with 5.7M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$41K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 5.7M
- Portfolio value
- $265K
- Profit this month
- −$3,310
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 82%
How DFK has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 164 (82%) ended in profit and 36 in a loss, for +$14K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 87%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 82 of the 200 are about politics and elections, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $176K together, the biggest is “Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?” (No) at 16% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?
No · entry 99% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$3,654
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
No · entry 97% · closed Oct 9, 2026
+$3,459
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No · entry 96% · closed Oct 5, 2026
+$2,527
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
No · entry 97% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$2,281
Trump out as President by March 31?
No · entry 93% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$1,936
Macron out in 2025?
No · entry 94% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$1,586
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
No · entry 97% · closed May 15, 2026
+$1,458
Trump out as President by June 30?
No · entry 93% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$1,333
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 92% · closed Sep 21, 2026
+$1,322
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
No · entry 86% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$1,210
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
No · entry 94% · closed Apr 25, 2026
−$10K
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
No · entry 49% · closed Dec 8, 2025
−$8,989
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?
Yes · entry 95% · closed May 23, 2026
−$4,753
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
No · entry 86% · closed May 12, 2026
−$2,956
Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?
Yes · entry 91% · closed Oct 19, 2026
−$1,768
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
No · entry 73% · closed Jul 9, 2025
−$1,458
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?
No · entry 94% · closed Jun 3, 2025
−$1,416
Another commercial airline evacuation before March?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Mar 5, 2025
−$1,172
Israel military action against Qatar in 2025?
No · entry 77% · closed Sep 18, 2025
−$1,150
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?
Yes · entry 95% · closed May 16, 2026
−$900
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 92%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$28K
+$943 P&L
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 93%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$25K
+$776 P&L
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Yes · entry 96%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$24K
+$600 P&L
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
No · entry 91%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$14K
+$542 P&L
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 86%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$12K
+$1,169 P&L
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
No · entry 89%, now 86% · ends Apr 19, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$12K
−$404 P&L
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
No · entry 92%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,761
+$293 P&L
France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 99%, now >99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,017
+$38 P&L
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?
No · entry 83%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,983
+$928 P&L
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No · entry 94%, now 94% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,980
−$2 P&L
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 93%, now 92% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,729
−$75 P&L
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
No · entry 89%, now 89% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,597
−$32 P&L
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?
No · entry 87%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,569
+$452 P&L
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
No · entry 86%, now 94% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,431
+$501 P&L
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
Yes · entry 89%, now 95% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,619
+$354 P&L
Recent trades
Sold Yes at 5%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
Bought No at 95%
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?
Bought No at 92%
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?
Bought No at 93%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Sold No at 97%
Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?
Sold No at 89%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Bought Yes at 98%
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Sold No at 97%
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?
Sold No at 84%
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Sold No at 97%
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?
Sold No at 97%
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?
Sold No at 97%
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 98%
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Bought Yes at 98%
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Bought Yes at 98%
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
More to explore: full leaderboard, live whale trades, events with live odds and how to start.