dwpoker has made $18K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #8,815 all time by profit, with 4.6M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 15, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$18K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 4.6M
- Portfolio value
- $262K
- Profit this month
- +$12K
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 93%
How dwpoker has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 186 (93%) ended in profit and 14 in a loss, for +$65K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 89%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $162K together, the biggest is “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” (No) at 20% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No · entry 65% · closed Jul 8, 2026
+$19K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No · entry 90% · closed Jun 3, 2026
+$9,987
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
No · entry 67% · closed Apr 5, 2026
+$5,000
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Yes · entry 95% · closed Mar 5, 2026
+$4,982
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
No · entry 50% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$4,950
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
No · entry 77% · closed May 1, 2026
+$4,783
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
No · entry 92% · closed Jun 1, 2026
+$4,229
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Yes · entry 44% · closed Jan 3, 2026
+$4,114
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No · entry 88% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$4,004
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
No · entry 90% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$3,086
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Yes · entry 98% · closed May 27, 2026
−$29K
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st?
No · entry 72% · closed Dec 29, 2024
−$19K
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Yes · entry 98% · closed May 31, 2026
−$8,590
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Yes · entry 98% · closed May 26, 2026
−$7,713
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Yes · entry 98% · closed Jun 12, 2026
−$6,569
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
No · entry 86% · closed May 27, 2026
−$3,948
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
No · entry 77% · closed May 31, 2026
−$3,731
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
No · entry 69% · closed Jun 1, 2026
−$3,324
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
Yes · entry 54% · closed Feb 3, 2026
−$2,690
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
No · entry 89% · closed Jan 3, 2026
−$1,770
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 74%, now 81% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$32K
+$2,580 P&L
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes · entry 71%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$32K
+$8,165 P&L
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No · entry 85%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$12K
+$1,163 P&L
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 91%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$12K
+$238 P&L
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 84%, now 82% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$12K
−$296 P&L
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 96%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,685
+$125 P&L
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 94%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,550
+$150 P&L
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
No · entry 85%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,300
+$800 P&L
SBF released from custody in 2026?
No · entry 95%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,887
+$118 P&L
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 96%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,872
+$52 P&L
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 82%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,842
+$742 P&L
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
No · entry 73%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,840
+$1,190 P&L
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 89%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,837
+$387 P&L
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No · entry 85%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,817
+$567 P&L
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
No · entry 93%, now 96% · ends Jan 5, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,793
+$138 P&L
Recent trades
Sold No at 97%
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
Sold No at 97%
Trump out as President before 2027?
Sold No at 97%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Sold No at 72%
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Sold No at 41%
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Sold No at 41%
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Sold No at 41%
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Sold No at 41%
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Sold No at 41%
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Sold No at 72%
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Sold No at 97%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Sold No at 98%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Sold No at 98%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Sold No at 98%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Sold No at 98%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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