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Taipei Mayor Election Winner odds

Polymarket traders make Chiang Wan-an the favorite for “Taipei Mayor Election Winner” at 67% (−2.5 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of Puma Shen at 35%.

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Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Probability over the last 30 days

The top 3 outcomes right now.

Oct 1Nov 1
Chiang Wan-anPuma ShenKuo Hsi

All 3 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Where this market stands

“Taipei Mayor Election Winner” is a Polymarket event with 3 open outcomes. Chiang Wan-an leads at 67%, ahead of Puma Shen at 35%. Chiang Wan-an is down 2.5 points over the last 24 hours and down 2.5 points over the past week. Traders have put $2.7M through the event so far, including $109K in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on November 29, 2026.

Whale trades in this market

The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

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How this market resolves

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

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Who is the favorite in Taipei Mayor Election Winner?
Chiang Wan-an is the favorite at 67%, followed by Puma Shen at 35% and Kuo Hsi at <0.1%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?
Polymarket traders give Chiang Wan-an a 67% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.50 (American −199): $1 staked on Chiang Wan-an returns about $1.50 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved down 2.5 points.

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