Lucerys has made $355K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #584 all time by profit, with 7.7M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$355K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 7.7M
- Portfolio value
- $7,276
- Profit this month
- +$1.5M
- Win rate (last 194 closed)
- 49%
How Lucerys has traded
Across the 194 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 96 (49%) ended in profit and 98 in a loss, for +$229K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 64%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 100 of the 194 are about politics and elections, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $2,873 together, the biggest is “Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?” (Yes) at 28% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 35% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$59K
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 27% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$42K
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
No · entry 0.1% · closed Oct 5, 2026
+$32K
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
No · entry 99% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$30K
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
No · entry 1% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$20K
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
No · entry 2% · closed Sep 20, 2026
+$19K
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 65% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$16K
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 87% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$10K
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?
No · entry 38% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$9,110
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
No · entry 50% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$8,174
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
No · entry >99% · closed Sep 19, 2026
−$6,276
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
No · entry 99% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$3,194
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No · entry >99% · closed Oct 16, 2026
−$3,160
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No · entry >99% · closed Oct 23, 2026
−$2,909
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?
No · entry >99% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$2,892
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry >99% · closed Oct 24, 2026
−$2,739
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No · entry >99% · closed Oct 23, 2026
−$2,667
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?
No · entry >99% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$1,995
Will “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?
No · entry >99% · closed Sep 15, 2026
−$1,452
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?
No · entry 98% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$1,427
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?
Yes · entry 10%, now 81% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$791
+$693 P&L
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Yes · entry 2%, now 71% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$479
+$466 P&L
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?
Yes · entry 14%, now 99% · ended Oct 20, 2026
$344
+$294 P&L
Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?
Yes · entry 4%, now 95% · ended Oct 5, 2026
$234
+$225 P&L
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?
Yes · entry 14%, now 94% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$132
+$113 P&L
Will Lana Nusseibeh be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
Yes · entry 3%, now 41% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$121
+$111 P&L
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?
Yes · entry 2%, now 77% · ended Oct 5, 2026
$105
+$103 P&L
Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election?
Yes · entry 7%, now 79% · ends Nov 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$98
+$90 P&L
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?
Yes · entry 10%, now 67% · ends Oct 25, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$98
+$83 P&L
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?
Yes · entry 8%, now 98% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$96
+$88 P&L
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?
Yes · entry 14%, now 94% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$93
+$79 P&L
Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?
Yes · entry 11%, now 59% · ends Jan 15, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$79
+$64 P&L
Will Andrey Gyurov win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?
Yes · entry 2%, now 73% · ends Oct 25, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$75
+$72 P&L
Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?
Yes · entry 3%, now 60% · ended Oct 5, 2026
$66
+$63 P&L
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 26?
Yes · entry 9%, now 57% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$63
+$53 P&L
Recent trades
Sold Yes at 0.1%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on October 25?
Sold Yes at 0.4%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 5°C or below on October 25?
Bought No at 65%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought No at 35%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 0.5%
Will the Student List win less than 30% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought No at 51%
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?
Bought No at 49%
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?
Bought No at 35%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought No at 65%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought No at 35%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought No at 65%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought No at 65%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought No at 35%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought No at 35%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Bought No at 65%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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