luisb-435
0x0002…25ff · Joined September 11, 2021
luisb-435 has made $1,619 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #61,868 all time by profit, with 94K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 31, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$1,619
- All-time volume (shares)
- 94K
- Portfolio value
- $2,588
- Profit this month
- +$12
- Win rate (all 84 settled)
- 18%
How luisb-435 has traded
Polymarket lists 84 settled positions for this wallet. Of them, 15 (18%) ended in profit and 69 in a loss, for a net +$1,619 in profit and loss. The simple average entry price on them was 22%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Positions on markets that have not ended are not counted above. Of the 2 largest positions on markets that have not ended, listed below and worth $2,588 together, the biggest is “Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?” (Yes) at >99% of that value.
How we count: a position is one outcome of one market. It is settled when the trader sold or redeemed it, or when its market resolved while the trader still held it; Polymarket keeps listing that last kind as open until it is redeemed, so we read those too (66 of the 84 here). Positions that cost under $1, ones that ended exactly even and ones on markets still running are left out, and each position is dated by its last activity. Profit is Polymarket's own figure per position. Computed by WhaleSays from public Polymarket data; it describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
The largest profits across this wallet's history: positions it sold or redeemed, and ones on markets that settled in its favor and are not redeemed yet.

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?
Yes · entry 45% · closed Jul 3, 2026
+$2,696

Will England win on 2026-07-05?
Yes · entry 41% · closed Jul 6, 2026
+$1,482

Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
Yes · entry 31% · closed Jul 14, 2026
+$1,131

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Yes · entry 61% · closed Jul 10, 2026
+$1,119

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Jul 5, 2026
+$794

Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)
Curaçao · entry 59% · closed Jun 21, 2026
+$707

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
Yes · entry 35% · closed Jul 4, 2026
+$652

France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
Spain · entry 45% · closed Jul 14, 2026
+$626

England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
Over · entry 33% · closed Jul 15, 2026
+$473

Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5
Over · entry 42% · closed Jul 4, 2026
+$426
Biggest losses
The largest losses across this wallet's history, including markets that settled against it and were never redeemed (Polymarket lists those as open, not closed).

Spread: England (-1.5)
England · entry 47% · market settled, not redeemed
−$2,336

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
Yes · entry 40% · closed Jul 3, 2026
−$527

Will England win on 2026-07-11?
Yes · entry 50% · market settled, not redeemed
−$512

France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5
Over · entry 51% · market settled, not redeemed
−$507

Spread: Spain (-1.5)
Austria · entry 48% · market settled, not redeemed
−$485

Spread: England (-1.5)
England · entry 17% · market settled, not redeemed
−$348

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Argentina · entry 30% · market settled, not redeemed
−$310

Will France win on 2026-07-18?
Yes · entry 46% · market settled, not redeemed
−$308

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?
Yes · entry 21% · market settled, not redeemed
−$307

Spread: England (-2.5)
England · entry 26% · market settled, not redeemed
−$307
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?
Yes · entry 77%, now 66% · ends Nov 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,566
−$434 P&L

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 0.5%, now 0.5% · ends Dec 9, 2026
Recent trades

Bought Yes at 77%
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?

Bought Yes at 0.5%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Bought Yes at 9%
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?
$50
Bought Yes at 9%
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?
$50

Bought Yes at 42%
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
$200

Bought Yes at 37%
Will France win on 2026-07-18?
$100

Bought Yes at 52%
Will France win on 2026-07-18?
$200
Bought Yes at 8%
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?
$10
Bought Yes at 6%
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?
$10

Bought Over at 45%
France vs. England: O/U 3.5
$100

Bought Over at 14%
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
$30

Bought Yes at 35%
Will England win on 2026-07-15?
$241
Bought Yes at 17%
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?
$10

Sold Over at 21%
England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5
$98

Sold Yes at 35%
Will England win on 2026-07-15?
$298
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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