Skip to content
WhaleSays
Open Polymarket

New Taipei Mayor Election Winner odds

Polymarket traders make Lee Shu-chuan the favorite for “New Taipei Mayor Election Winner” at 55% (−0.5 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of Su Chiao-hui at 45%.

Start trading on PolymarketAffiliate link · 18+ · trading involves riskView this market on Polymarket

Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Probability over the last 30 days

The top 3 outcomes right now.

Oct 2Nov 1
Lee Shu-chuanSu Chiao-huiHuang Kuo-chang

All 3 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Where this market stands

“New Taipei Mayor Election Winner” is a Polymarket event with 3 open outcomes. Lee Shu-chuan leads at 55%, ahead of Su Chiao-hui at 45%. Lee Shu-chuan is down 0.5 points over the last 24 hours and up 9.5 points over the past week. Traders have put $210K through the event so far, including $3,012 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on November 29, 2026.

Whale trades in this market

The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

All whale trades

How this market resolves

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.

Who is the favorite in New Taipei Mayor Election Winner?
Lee Shu-chuan is the favorite at 55%, followed by Su Chiao-hui at 45% and Huang Kuo-chang at <0.1%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?
Polymarket traders give Lee Shu-chuan a 55% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.82 (American −122): $1 staked on Lee Shu-chuan returns about $1.82 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved down 0.5 points.

Related odds

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

  • Chiang Wan-an66%
  • Puma Shen35%
  • Kuo Hsi<0.1%

$2.7M traded · $106K in 24h

Taichung Mayor Election Winner

  • Johnny Chiang86%
  • Ho Hsin-chun14%
  • Yang Chiung-ying0.1%

$37K traded · $3,215 in 24h

Lienchiang County Magistrate Election Winner

  • Wang Chung-ming73%
  • Tsao Erh-yuan26%
  • Tsao Erh-chang<0.1%

$14K traded · $548 in 24h