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Lienchiang County Magistrate Election Winner odds

Polymarket traders make Wang Chung-ming the favorite for “Lienchiang County Magistrate Election Winner” at 73% (−1.5 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of Tsao Erh-yuan at 26%.

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Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Probability over the last 30 days

The top 3 outcomes right now.

Oct 2Nov 1
Wang Chung-mingTsao Erh-yuanTsao Erh-chang

All 3 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Where this market stands

“Lienchiang County Magistrate Election Winner” is a Polymarket event with 3 open outcomes. Wang Chung-ming leads at 73%, ahead of Tsao Erh-yuan at 26%. Wang Chung-ming is down 1.5 points over the last 24 hours and down 2.5 points over the past week. Traders have put $14K through the event so far, including $548 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on November 29, 2026.

Whale trades in this market

The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

All whale trades

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How this market resolves

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Lienchiang County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

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Who is the favorite in Lienchiang County Magistrate Election Winner?
Wang Chung-ming is the favorite at 73%, followed by Tsao Erh-yuan at 26% and Tsao Erh-chang at <0.1%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
Will Wang Chung-ming win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election?
Polymarket traders give Wang Chung-ming a 73% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.37 (American −270): $1 staked on Wang Chung-ming returns about $1.37 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved down 1.5 points.

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