Skip to content
WhaleSays
Open Polymarket

2026 Michigan Governor Race odds

Polymarket traders make Jocelyn Benson (D) the favorite for “Michigan Governor Election Winner” at 95% (+0.7 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of John James (R) at 6%.

Start trading on PolymarketAffiliate link · 18+ · trading involves riskView this market on Polymarket

Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Probability over the last 30 days

The top 3 outcomes right now.

Oct 2Nov 1
Jocelyn Benson (D)John James (R)Independent

All 3 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Where this market stands

“Michigan Governor Election Winner” is a Polymarket event with 3 open outcomes. Jocelyn Benson (D) leads at 95%, ahead of John James (R) at 6%. Jocelyn Benson (D) is up 0.7 points over the last 24 hours and up 1.8 points over the past week. Traders have put $524K through the event so far, including $35K in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on November 4, 2026.

Whale trades in this market

The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

All whale trades

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.

Who is the favorite in Michigan Governor Election Winner?
Jocelyn Benson (D) is the favorite at 95%, followed by John James (R) at 6% and Independent at <0.1%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
Polymarket traders give Jocelyn Benson (D) a 95% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.06 (American −1718): $1 staked on Jocelyn Benson (D) returns about $1.06 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 0.7 points.

Related odds

Ohio Governor Election Winner

  • Amy Acton (D)81%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy (R)20%

$1.7M traded · $209K in 24h

Michigan Senate Election Winner

  • Abdul El-Sayed (D)75%
  • Mike Rogers (R)26%

$6.5M traded · $1.0M in 24h

MI-04 House Election Winner

  • Sean McCann (D)60%
  • Bill Huizenga (R)41%

$56K traded · $3,505 in 24h