
OATH1989
0x55b3…4dcb · Joined September 18, 2024
OATH1989 has made $563 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #109,150 all time by profit, with 163K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$563
- All-time volume (shares)
- 163K
- Portfolio value
- $39K
- Profit this month
- −$781
- Win rate (last 87 closed)
- 61%
How OATH1989 has traded
Across all 87 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 53 (61%) ended in profit and 34 in a loss, for +$702 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 61%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 57 of the 87 are about politics and elections, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 13 largest open positions listed below, worth $39K together, the biggest is “Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?” (Yes) at 31% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 70% · closed Apr 13, 2026
+$1,291

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
Yes · entry 84% · closed Apr 22, 2026
+$811

Will Josée Massi be the next mayor of Toulon?
Yes · entry 63% · closed Mar 27, 2026
+$289

Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 100 seats?
No · entry 79% · closed Apr 13, 2026
+$267

Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?
No · entry 62% · closed Apr 13, 2026
+$155

Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?
Yes · entry 16% · closed Aug 14, 2026
+$152

Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?
No · entry 49% · closed Jul 26, 2026
+$147

Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Yes · entry 71% · closed Mar 23, 2026
+$137

Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?
No · entry 81% · closed Aug 14, 2026
+$134

Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 77% · closed Apr 18, 2026
+$130
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
No · entry 64% · closed Mar 19, 2026
−$1,855

Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Yes · entry 69% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$653

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 38% · closed Mar 19, 2026
−$544

Will Genta Koja win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election?
No · entry 30% · closed Sep 13, 2026
−$233

2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
No · entry 58% · closed Mar 19, 2026
−$131

Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes · entry 36% · closed May 16, 2026
−$117

Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?
Yes · entry 26% · closed Apr 14, 2026
−$89

Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
Yes · entry 19% · closed Mar 23, 2026
−$56

Will Denny Tamaki win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election?
Yes · entry 30% · closed Sep 13, 2026
−$54

Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?
No · entry 26% · closed Apr 15, 2026
−$40
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes · entry 97%, now 97% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$12K
−$47 P&L

Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 96%, now 96% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,993
−$8 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 92%, now 90% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,859
−$141 P&L

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 66%, now 65% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,869
−$134 P&L

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes · entry 62%, now 66% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,171
+$169 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 69%, now 67% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,447
−$54 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 81%, now 81% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$995
−$6 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 83%, now 82% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$988
−$12 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 38%, now 39% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$508
+$7 P&L

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Yes · entry 23%, now 25% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$318
+$17 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 71%, now 69% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$194
−$6 P&L

Will Democrats sweep the Iowa Senate and Governor elections?
Yes · entry 42%, now 40% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$190
−$11 P&L

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 22%, now >99% · ended Oct 26, 2026
$131
+$102 P&L
Recent trades

Bought Yes at 22%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 23%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Bought Yes at 38%
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

Sold Yes at 27%
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Sold Yes at 28%
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Bought Yes at 69%
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Bought Yes at 23%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Bought Yes at 69%
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Sold Yes at 45%
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?

Sold Yes at 76%
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-03 House seat?
Sold Yes at 70%
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-02 House seat?
Sold Yes at 46%
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?

Sold Yes at 63%
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Sold Yes at 62%
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 69%
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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