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Premier League winner odds 2026-27

Polymarket traders give Arsenal a 70% chance of winning the 2026-27 Premier League (+5.5 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of Manchester City at 11%.

Final matchday:

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Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Back your pick

Choose an outcome and a stake to see what it would return if it wins.

Your pick

If Arsenal wins “EPL: 2027 Champion”, $20 returns about $28.57.

Price per share
70¢
Implied chance
70%
Shares
28.57
Payout if it wins
$28.57
Profit if it wins
+$8.57
Odds
1.43 · −233

If it loses, the stake is lost. Each share costs the price shown and pays $1 if the outcome wins.

Back Arsenal on Polymarket

Affiliate link · 18+ · prices move; you can lose your stake · not financial advice

Polymarket’s taker fee is not included (see our guide to Polymarket fees). Prices are from the last update, 09:23 UTC, 2 Nov 2026, and may have moved since.

Probability over the last 30 days

The top 4 outcomes right now.

Oct 2Nov 2
ArsenalManchester CityBrightonLiverpool

All 20 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Show all 20 outcomes

Long shots that pay the most

The 3 outcomes priced between 2¢ and 15¢ that would pay the most for a $20 stake. Long shots rarely win, and the price already says how rarely: 5¢ is a market-implied chance of about 5%. Most stakes at these prices end up lost.

Payout is before fees and assumes the price shown. How Polymarket fees work.

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship per the rules of English Premier League (EPL) (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from English Premier League (EPL); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

What this market asks

Which club will win the 2026-27 English Premier League? Each club has its own Yes/No market, and the price is the market's implied probability that it finishes first. A 20-cent share means roughly a 20% chance. Because only one club can win, the prices across the field add up to about 100%, and a club's price rises when a rival drops points.

The league has 20 clubs who each play 38 matches, so the table is a long race rather than a knockout. That makes the title market slower-moving than a cup market, with the biggest swings in the autumn and spring when the leaders meet.

How it resolves and key dates

A club's market resolves to Yes if it wins the 2026-27 Premier League. If it becomes impossible for a club to win under the league's rules, its market resolves to No. If the season is cancelled, or postponed after June 14, 2027 (11:59 PM ET) with no champion declared, the market resolves to Other. The main source is official Premier League information, with credible reporting as a backup.

The season started on August 21, 2026. The Premier League's final day is Sunday, May 30, 2027, when all ten matches kick off together at 16:00 UK time. Fixtures can be moved for broadcast or policing reasons, so check the league's site for the latest schedule.

What moves these odds

Results and the points gap are the main driver. The leader's price usually follows the gap to the nearest rival and the number of games left, and a direct meeting between two contenders can move both prices at once. Injuries to key players, suspensions and runs of fixture congestion from European and cup games all matter, especially for squads with little depth.

Managerial changes, the January transfer window and a club's run of home versus away games also feed in. Late in the season the odds usually collapse onto one or two clubs, and contenders fall to zero as they are eliminated mathematically.

How to back a pick

On Polymarket you buy shares of the club you pick. Each share pays $1 if that club wins the title and nothing if it does not, so a share bought at 25 cents turns $20 into $80 if the pick wins (before any fees) and into $0 if it does not. Prices move after every match, you can sell before the season ends, and you can lose your whole stake. Polymarket is close-only in the UK, so check our availability page for where you can open new positions. This is information, not financial advice.

More markets on this topic

Other Polymarket markets about Premier League winner odds, with the most likely outcome in each right now.

Common questions

New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.

When does the 2026-27 Premier League season end?
The final matchday is Sunday, May 30, 2027, with all matches kicking off at 16:00 UK time, according to the Premier League's published schedule. Fixtures can be changed.
How does Polymarket decide the Premier League winner market?
It resolves to the club that wins the 2026-27 English Premier League, using official Premier League information. A club's market resolves to No as soon as it is impossible for it to win, and to Other if the season is cancelled or no champion is declared by June 14, 2027 (11:59 PM ET).
How is the Premier League champion decided?
The club with the most points after all 38 matches wins the title. A win earns three points, a draw one and a loss none.
How many teams are relegated from the Premier League?
The bottom three clubs after 38 matches go down to the Championship. Polymarket also runs a separate relegation market, listed under More markets on this page.
Are title odds the same as bookmaker odds?
Not exactly. Polymarket prices are set by traders buying and selling shares, and they show an implied probability directly. Bookmaker odds include the bookmaker's margin. They often point the same way but can differ.
Who is the favorite in EPL: 2027 Champion?
Arsenal is the favorite at 70%, followed by Manchester City at 11% and Brighton at 7%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
Polymarket traders give Arsenal a 70% chance of winning the 2026-27 Premier League, which is decimal odds of 1.43 (American −233): $1 staked on Arsenal returns about $1.43 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 5.5 points.

Related odds

Also see Champions League winner odds and Ballon d'Or 2026 odds and NBA championship odds.

English Premier League Top 4 Finishers (2026-27)

  • Arsenal97%
  • Liverpool63%
  • Chelsea59%

$87K traded · $1,530 in 24h

EPL: 2026-27 Top 2 Finishers

  • Arsenal88%
  • Manchester City37%
  • Liverpool25%

$85K traded · $1,310 in 24h

English Premier League Top 6 Finishers (2026-27)

  • Arsenal99%
  • Liverpool81%
  • Chelsea78%

$71K traded · $1,201 in 24h