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SplendidAmadeus

0x0dd6…5f62 · Joined March 20, 2024

#3,223,432 all time#673,335 this monthView on Polymarket

SplendidAmadeus is down $130K in realized results on Polymarket, with 9.0M shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.

All-time realized profit
−$130K
All-time volume (shares)
9.0M
Portfolio value
$24K
Profit this month
−$11K
Win rate (last 200 closed)
74%

How SplendidAmadeus has traded

Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 147 (74%) ended in profit and 53 in a loss, for −$24K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 86%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 134 of the 200 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 5 largest open positions listed below, worth $24K together, the biggest is “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” (No) at 46% of that value.

Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

  • Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

    Yes · entry 87% · closed Jun 19, 2026

    +$6,463

  • Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

    Yes · entry 92% · closed Dec 10, 2025

    +$3,221

  • Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

    Yes · entry 87% · closed Mar 4, 2026

    +$3,207

  • Australian Open Men's: Hamad Medjedovic vs Alex de Minaur

    Minaur · entry 85% · closed Jan 21, 2026

    +$2,448

  • France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance

    France · entry 89% · closed Jun 30, 2026

    +$2,141

  • Iran closes its airspace by May 15?

    No · entry 93% · closed May 16, 2026

    +$1,757

  • Wimbledon ATP: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Novak Djokovic

    Novak Djokovic · entry 83% · closed Jul 1, 2026

    +$1,740

  • Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?

    No · entry 92% · closed Nov 23, 2025

    +$1,663

  • Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

    Yes · entry 88% · closed Dec 20, 2025

    +$1,663

  • Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?

    Yes · entry 94% · closed Jul 27, 2026

    +$1,660

Biggest losses

Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

  • US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

    No · entry 92% · closed Apr 11, 2026

    −$15K

  • Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider

    Aryna Sabalenka · entry 89% · closed Jun 4, 2026

    −$10K

  • US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Yunchaokete Bu

    Rafael Jodar · entry 83% · closed Sep 2, 2026

    −$8,381

  • Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?

    No · entry 95% · closed Aug 21, 2026

    −$8,348

  • Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Fery

    Flavio Cobolli · entry 58% · closed Jul 8, 2026

    −$7,905

  • Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

    Yes · entry 93% · closed May 17, 2026

    −$7,437

  • LAR vs. Panthers

    LAR · entry 69% · closed Nov 30, 2025

    −$7,342

  • US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz

    Carlos Alcaraz · entry 76% · closed Sep 9, 2026

    −$6,811

  • US Open ATP: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Arthur Fils

    Arthur Fils · entry 82% · closed Aug 31, 2026

    −$5,574

  • Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

    Yes · entry 82% · closed Jul 29, 2026

    −$5,289

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Recent trades

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

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