P1kaso has made $114K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #1,703 all time by profit, with 15M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$114K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 15M
- Portfolio value
- $51K
- Profit this month
- +$28K
- Win rate (last 195 closed)
- 83%
How P1kaso has traded
Across the 195 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 162 (83%) ended in profit and 33 in a loss, for +$54K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 57%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 131 of the 195 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $42K together, the biggest is “Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?” (No) at 26% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will Barcelona win La Liga?
Yes · entry 35% · closed May 16, 2025
+$31K

Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 1% · closed Oct 15, 2026
+$11K

ELH: Kometa Brno vs. Plzeň
Plzeň · entry 18% · closed Oct 12, 2026
+$10K

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?
Yes · entry 37% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$9,114

Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance
Spain · entry 65% · closed Jul 6, 2026
+$8,400

Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
No · entry 56% · closed Jul 6, 2026
+$8,077

Will North Macedonia vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw?
Yes · entry 2% · closed Sep 7, 2025
+$7,743

Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Sep 23, 2025
+$7,552

Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Yes · entry 0.9% · closed Sep 27, 2025
+$7,321

FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)
PSG · entry 55% · closed Jul 9, 2025
+$6,720
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will Real Madrid win La Liga?
Yes · entry 31% · closed May 16, 2025
−$11K

Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 97% · closed Oct 19, 2026
−$10K

IEM Dallas: 3DMAX vs. G2
3DMAX · entry 88% · closed May 22, 2025
−$8,847

Will North Macedonia vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw?
No · entry >99% · closed Sep 7, 2025
−$7,401

Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?
No · entry 72% · closed Jul 14, 2025
−$7,200

Who will Nate Silver predict to win the election?
Trump · entry 81% · closed Nov 5, 2024
−$7,008

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 41% · closed Jul 20, 2026
−$6,961

Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
No · entry 98% · closed May 2, 2026
−$5,437

Will Lithuania vs. Netherlands end in a draw?
No · entry >99% · closed Sep 7, 2025
−$5,304

Germany to win the second half?
No · entry 45% · closed Jun 14, 2026
−$4,879
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
No · entry 76%, now 79% · ends May 30, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$11K
+$342 P&L

Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 93%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,908
+$424 P&L

Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
No · entry 93%, now 96% · ends May 30, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,711
+$199 P&L

Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
No · entry 99%, now 99% · ends Jun 20, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,946
−$2 P&L

Will Italy win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
No · entry 98%, now 98% · ends Jun 14, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,494
+$3 P&L

Will France win 2026-27 Nations League Group A1?
Yes · entry 80%, now 83% · ends Dec 2, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,099
+$64 P&L

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 32%, now 29% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,153
−$134 P&L

Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 85%, now 91% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,140
+$66 P&L

Will Norway win the UEFA EURO 2028?
No · entry 93%, now 94% · ends Jul 24, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$971
+$8 P&L

Will Marseille finish top 8 in UEL league phase?
No · entry 95%, now 99% · ends Feb 28, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$917
+$29 P&L

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 3%, now 11% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$906
+$608 P&L

Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Yes · entry 6%, now 8% · ends Jun 20, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$750
+$150 P&L

Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05?
No · entry 75%, now 91% · ends Nov 5, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$724
+$124 P&L

Will LASK Linz vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava end in a draw?
Yes · entry 20%, now 20% · ends Nov 3, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$682
−$17 P&L

Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 97%, now 99% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$593
+$9 P&L
Recent trades

Bought No at 61%
Raphinha: Anytime Goalscorer

Bought No at 65%
Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorer

Bought No at 65%
Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorer

Bought No at 67%
Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorer

Bought Yes at 0.2%
Will Fabian Ruiz finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought Yes at 0.2%
Will Fabian Ruiz finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Sold No at 19%
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score
Bought Yes at 75%
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
Bought Yes at 75%
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
Bought Yes at 75%
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?

Sold Real Madrid CF at 87%
Spread: FC Barcelona (-3.5)

Sold Real Madrid CF at 87%
Spread: FC Barcelona (-3.5)

Sold No at 24%
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score

Sold No at 24%
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score

Sold No at 24%
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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