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Next Prime Minister of Spain odds

Polymarket traders make Alberto Núñez Feijóo the favorite for “Next Prime Minister of Spain” at 83% (+2.0 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of Pedro Sánchez at 16%.

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Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Probability over the last 30 days

The top 4 outcomes right now.

Sep 27Oct 27
Alberto Núñez FeijóoPedro SánchezSantiago AbascalCarlos Cuerpo

All 16 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Show all 16 outcomes

Where this market stands

“Next Prime Minister of Spain” is a Polymarket event with 16 open outcomes. Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads at 83%, ahead of Pedro Sánchez at 16%. Alberto Núñez Feijóo is up 2.0 points over the last 24 hours and up 0.5 points over the past week. Traders have put $2.2M through the event so far, including $83K in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on November 30, 2026.

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

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Who is the favorite in Next Prime Minister of Spain?
Alberto Núñez Feijóo is the favorite at 83%, followed by Pedro Sánchez at 16% and Santiago Abascal at 2%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
Polymarket traders give Alberto Núñez Feijóo a 83% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.21 (American −471): $1 staked on Alberto Núñez Feijóo returns about $1.21 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 2.0 points.

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