
sciuboi has made $271K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #774 all time by profit, with 14M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$271K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 14M
- Portfolio value
- $123K
- Profit this month
- +$54K
- Win rate (last 195 closed)
- 65%
How sciuboi has traded
Across the 195 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 127 (65%) ended in profit and 68 in a loss, for +$96K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 56%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 102 of the 195 are about politics and elections, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $103K together, the biggest is “Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?” (Yes) at 23% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Yes · entry 30% · closed May 19, 2025
+$195K

Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
Yes · entry 69% · closed May 19, 2025
+$27K

Will Navi Pillay win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Yes · entry 1% · closed Oct 9, 2026
+$24K

Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
No · entry 87% · closed Dec 8, 2025
+$19K

Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?
Yes · entry 13% · closed May 19, 2025
+$18K

Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Yes · entry 32% · closed Oct 20, 2026
+$17K

Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
No · entry 6% · closed Jun 2, 2025
+$13K

Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
No · entry 87% · closed Dec 8, 2025
+$12K

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 70% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$8,474

Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Yes · entry 2% · closed Oct 20, 2026
+$8,312
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
No · entry 58% · closed Dec 8, 2025
−$73K

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
No · entry 28% · closed Dec 15, 2025
−$20K

Will Anca Alexandrescu finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?
No · entry 85% · closed Dec 8, 2025
−$18K

Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 43% · closed Nov 2, 2025
−$6,908

Will Daniel Baluta finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?
No · entry 89% · closed Dec 7, 2025
−$6,421

Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 70-72%?
No · entry 79% · closed Jun 1, 2025
−$4,802

Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Yes · entry 73% · closed Aug 18, 2025
−$4,202

Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win 4th place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
No · entry 70% · closed Jan 27, 2026
−$3,753

Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
No · entry 32% · closed Oct 19, 2025
−$3,157

Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Yes · entry 22% · closed Oct 20, 2026
−$3,081
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 92%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$24K
−$129 P&L

Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Yes · entry 88%, now 70% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$21K
−$5,500 P&L

Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
No · entry 46%, now >99% · ends Oct 25, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$11K
+$5,952 P&L

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No · entry 92%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,599
−$52 P&L

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 45%, now 72% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,684
+$2,912 P&L

Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 53%, now >99% · ends Oct 25, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,433
+$2,546 P&L

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 84%, now 33% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,041
−$7,672 P&L

Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
No · entry 97%, now 98% · ends Apr 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,835
+$45 P&L

Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?
Yes · entry 13%, now 22% · ends Oct 25, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,722
+$1,402 P&L

Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 84%, now 87% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,726
+$101 P&L

Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 58%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,503
+$967 P&L

Will Doctors Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
No · entry 95%, now 98% · ends Apr 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,024
+$54 P&L

Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
No · entry 95%, now 97% · ends Apr 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,819
+$36 P&L

Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
No · entry 97%, now 98% · ends Apr 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,775
+$28 P&L

Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 32%, now 28% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,759
−$241 P&L
Recent trades

Bought Yes at 51%
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

Bought No at 54%
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

Bought No at 54%
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

Bought No at 54%
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

Bought No at 53%
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

Bought No at 55%
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

Bought Yes at 55%
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

Bought Yes at 55%
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

Bought Yes at 55%
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

Bought Yes at 55%
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

Bought Yes at 55%
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

Bought Yes at 55%
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

Sold No at 83%
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?

Bought Yes at 54%
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

Bought Yes at 54%
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
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