laureman has made $7,263 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #19,242 all time by profit, with 4.0M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$7,263
- All-time volume (shares)
- 4.0M
- Portfolio value
- $95K
- Profit this month
- −$1,709
- Win rate (last 165 closed)
- 72%
How laureman has traded
Across all 165 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 119 (72%) ended in profit and 46 in a loss, for +$6,478 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 87%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $94K together, the biggest is “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” (No) at 26% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?
No · entry 79% · closed Oct 1, 2026
+$2,124

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
Yes · entry 96% · closed Sep 30, 2026
+$1,695

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 98% · closed Sep 21, 2026
+$1,335

US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
Yes · entry 96% · closed Sep 30, 2026
+$1,103

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
Yes · entry 95% · closed Oct 24, 2026
+$1,033

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?
Yes · entry 95% · closed Oct 17, 2026
+$1,014

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?
Yes · entry 97% · closed Oct 15, 2026
+$917

US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?
Yes · entry 96% · closed Sep 27, 2026
+$826

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?
Yes · entry 89% · closed Oct 24, 2026
+$663

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?
Yes · entry 94% · closed Oct 18, 2026
+$580
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?
No · entry 88% · closed Oct 16, 2026
−$3,287

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?
No · entry 52% · closed Oct 20, 2026
−$1,838

Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Yes · entry 38% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$1,299

Paris curfew by October 21?
No · entry 84% · closed Oct 19, 2026
−$1,237

Will there be no Hormuz agreement?
Yes · entry 87% · closed Oct 24, 2026
−$1,042

Will there be no Hormuz agreement?
Yes · entry 92% · closed Oct 19, 2026
−$751

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
Yes · entry 65% · closed Oct 7, 2026
−$678

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
Yes · entry 60% · closed Oct 4, 2026
−$653

Paris curfew by October 19?
No · entry 73% · closed Oct 19, 2026
−$589

Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
Yes · entry 97% · closed Oct 9, 2026
−$441
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 84%, now 81% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$24K
−$917 P&L

Iran leadership change by December 31?
No · entry 85%, now 86% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$17K
+$140 P&L

Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
Yes · entry 80%, now 81% · ends Apr 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$12K
+$18 P&L

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
Yes · entry 90%, now 90% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,123
−$76 P&L

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes · entry 84%, now 85% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,450
+$50 P&L

France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 96%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,927
+$33 P&L

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 94%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,795
+$131 P&L

US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes · entry 93%, now 94% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,471
+$37 P&L

Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?
No · entry 82%, now 98% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,368
+$541 P&L

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?
Yes · entry 67%, now 56% · ends Nov 16, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,957
−$354 P&L

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 46%, now 37% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,189
−$308 P&L

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes · entry 53%, now 50% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,008
−$54 P&L

US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
Yes · entry 36%, now 35% · ends Nov 30, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$976
−$15 P&L

Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?
Yes · entry 96%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$747
+$1 P&L

France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?
No · entry 86%, now 88% · ends Dec 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$525
+$9 P&L
Recent trades
Sold Yes at 36%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?

Sold Yes at 88%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

Sold Yes at 88%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

Sold Yes at 88%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

Sold Yes at 88%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

Sold Yes at 88%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

Sold Yes at 88%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

Sold Yes at 88%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

Sold Yes at 88%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

Sold Yes at 88%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

Sold Yes at 88%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

Sold Yes at 88%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

Sold Yes at 88%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

Sold Yes at 88%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Bought Yes at 35%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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