SirHarryOakes has made $47K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #3,846 all time by profit, with 1.6M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 27, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$47K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 1.6M
- Portfolio value
- $92K
- Profit this month
- +$485
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 79%
How SirHarryOakes has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 157 (79%) ended in profit and 43 in a loss, for +$39K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 88%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $92K together, the biggest is “Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?” (Yes) at 16% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
No · entry 78% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$4,256
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
No · entry 76% · closed Apr 30, 2025
+$3,261
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
No · entry 74% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$3,181
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
No · entry 84% · closed Jul 2, 2025
+$3,062
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
No · entry 90% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$2,529
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 87% · closed Oct 5, 2026
+$2,193
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Yes · entry 89% · closed Nov 5, 2025
+$1,968
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
No · entry 77% · closed Apr 1, 2026
+$1,960
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024?
No · entry 83% · closed Jan 2, 2025
+$1,810
Will Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before July?
No · entry 87% · closed Jul 1, 2025
+$1,589
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?
Yes · entry 93% · closed Dec 8, 2024
−$6,608
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Yes · entry 94% · closed Jun 28, 2025
−$3,474
US military action against Iran before July?
No · entry 70% · closed Jun 22, 2025
−$2,431
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Yes · entry 83% · closed Jun 2, 2025
−$1,710
Will Trump increase tariffs on China before May?
No · entry 80% · closed Apr 9, 2025
−$649
US military action against Iran before August?
No · entry 57% · closed Jun 22, 2025
−$628
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 74% · closed Mar 25, 2026
−$619
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
No · entry 76% · closed May 16, 2026
−$528
Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?
No · entry 42% · closed Feb 20, 2025
−$476
Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?
No · entry 89% · closed Apr 30, 2025
−$328
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 90%, now 97% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$15K
+$986 P&L
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No · entry 68%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$14K
+$3,909 P&L
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No · entry 92%, now 94% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$11K
+$237 P&L
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 91%, now 91% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,913
−$90 P&L
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 81%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,935
+$1,314 P&L
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Yes · entry 83%, now 81% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,353
−$256 P&L
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
No · entry 81%, now 89% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,541
+$623 P&L
Iran leadership change by December 31?
No · entry 80%, now 87% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,489
+$489 P&L
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
Yes · entry 82%, now 83% · ends Apr 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,011
+$2 P&L
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?
No · entry 49%, now 47% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,958
−$122 P&L
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 87%, now 96% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,194
+$194 P&L
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 88%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,041
+$43 P&L
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?
No · entry 69%, now 75% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$537
+$37 P&L
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?
No · entry 94%, now >99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$532
+$30 P&L
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
No · entry 86%, now 90% · ends Apr 19, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$420
+$15 P&L
Recent trades
Sold Yes at 80%
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?
Bought Yes at 83%
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
Bought Yes at 82%
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
Bought No at 49%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?
Sold No at 95%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Bought Yes at 83%
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
Sold No at 95%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Bought Yes at 83%
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
Bought Yes at 82%
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
Bought Yes at 82%
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
Sold No at 95%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Bought Yes at 82%
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
Sold No at 95%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Bought Yes at 81%
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
Bought Yes at 48%
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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