
x26 has made $53K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #3,440 all time by profit, with 2.5M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$53K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 2.5M
- Portfolio value
- $75K
- Profit this month
- +$11K
- Win rate (last 185 closed)
- 71%
How x26 has traded
Across the 185 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 131 (71%) ended in profit and 54 in a loss, for −$2,237 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 60%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $58K together, the biggest is “US recession by end of 2026?” (No) at 36% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?
No · entry 86% · closed Dec 12, 2024
+$15K

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes · entry 17% · closed Jul 20, 2026
+$7,844

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 70% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$6,152

Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
Yes · entry 56% · closed Feb 20, 2026
+$5,234

Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?
No · entry 79% · closed Feb 13, 2026
+$4,118

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 73% · closed Dec 10, 2025
+$3,940

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 85% · closed Jan 28, 2026
+$3,150

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 87% · closed Sep 17, 2025
+$3,071

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
No · entry 94% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$2,776

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 1% · closed Nov 25, 2025
+$2,450
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will Cintas (CTAS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?
Yes · entry 35% · closed Nov 10, 2025
−$19K

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 62% · closed Sep 16, 2026
−$12K

Will SpaceX (SPCX) beat quarterly earnings?
No · entry 67% · closed Aug 4, 2026
−$6,829

Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
No · entry 55% · closed Sep 17, 2026
−$4,182

Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?
No · entry 94% · closed Apr 1, 2026
−$4,061

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 30% · closed Dec 11, 2025
−$2,775

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 21% · closed Jan 28, 2026
−$2,468

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
No · entry 98% · closed Nov 25, 2025
−$2,403

Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?
No · entry 37% · closed Feb 24, 2026
−$2,251

Will SpaceX (SPCX) beat quarterly earnings?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Aug 4, 2026
−$2,100
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

US recession by end of 2026?
No · entry 86%, now 91% · ends Jan 31, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$21K
+$1,149 P&L

Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
No · entry 87%, now 90% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,247
+$197 P&L

Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
No · entry 83%, now 84% · ends Apr 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,846
+$77 P&L

Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
Yes · entry 61%, now 72% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,680
+$737 P&L

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 87%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,117
+$198 P&L

SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?
No · entry 90%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,012
+$225 P&L

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?
Yes · entry 55%, now 68% · ends Jan 28, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,157
+$412 P&L

Trump out as President before 2027?
No · entry 84%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,900
+$226 P&L

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 82%, now 81% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,610
−$40 P&L

Will GameStop acquire eBay?
No · entry 86%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,488
+$114 P&L

Revolut IPO before 2027?
No · entry 91%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,295
+$70 P&L

Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?
No · entry 72%, now 93% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,102
+$252 P&L

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 77%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$975
+$202 P&L

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 49%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$955
+$465 P&L

Amazon 2026 capex above $190B?
Yes · entry 87%, now 96% · ends May 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$947
+$89 P&L
Recent trades

Sold Yes at >99%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at >99%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at >99%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at 99%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at 98%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at 97%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 89%
US recession by end of 2026?

Sold Yes at 92%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at 92%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at 92%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at 90%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 88%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 89%
US recession by end of 2026?

Bought Yes at 88%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 88%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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