knrad has made $40K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #4,428 all time by profit, with 3.4M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 27, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$40K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 3.4M
- Portfolio value
- $99K
- Profit this month
- +$11K
- Win rate (last 197 closed)
- 66%
How knrad has traded
Across the 197 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 131 (66%) ended in profit and 66 in a loss, for +$16K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 55%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 109 of the 197 are about politics and elections, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $82K together, the biggest is “Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?” (No) at 19% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 70% · closed Oct 26, 2026
+$7,057
Will Navi Pillay win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Yes · entry 51% · closed Oct 9, 2026
+$6,389
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Yes · entry 7% · closed Mar 14, 2026
+$4,997
Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Yes · entry 5% · closed Dec 11, 2025
+$4,381
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Mar 10, 2026
+$4,223
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Yes · entry 48% · closed Mar 23, 2026
+$3,630
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Yes · entry 29% · closed Dec 25, 2025
+$2,644
Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Yes · entry 1% · closed Jul 20, 2026
+$2,323
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Yes · entry 32% · closed Jun 4, 2026
+$2,278
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Yes · entry 91% · closed Oct 21, 2025
+$2,208
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 41% · closed Oct 26, 2026
−$4,501
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes · entry 21% · closed Dec 11, 2025
−$2,041
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Yes · entry 32% · closed Apr 3, 2026
−$2,019
Will the Labour Party (Ap) win between 50 and 52 seats in the Norwegian election?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Oct 2, 2025
−$1,998
Will the US strike Iran next?
Yes · entry 99% · closed Mar 9, 2026
−$1,898
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Yes · entry 56% · closed Dec 25, 2025
−$1,641
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 50% and 52%?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Feb 15, 2026
−$1,135
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Yes · entry 54% · closed Oct 4, 2025
−$1,059
Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?
Yes · entry 31% · closed Aug 2, 2026
−$1,038
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
Yes · entry 28% · closed Feb 12, 2026
−$1,013
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 50%, now 81% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$16K
+$6,095 P&L
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
No · entry 98%, now 98% · ends Mar 31, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,393
+$32 P&L
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 78%, now 85% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,935
+$578 P&L
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
Yes · entry 78%, now 83% · ends Apr 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,431
+$369 P&L
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
No · entry 84%, now 89% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,276
+$293 P&L
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 86%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,513
+$352 P&L
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 94%, now 96% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,492
+$65 P&L
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
No · entry 85%, now 86% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,148
+$30 P&L
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
No · entry 91%, now 91% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,022
−$22 P&L
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 50%, now 19% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,816
−$6,095 P&L
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
No · entry 82%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,387
+$438 P&L
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?
Yes · entry 99%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,953
−$21 P&L
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?
Yes · entry 74%, now 73% · ended Sep 7, 2026
$2,925
−$48 P&L
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
No · entry 92%, now 93% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,924
+$27 P&L
No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31?
No · entry 96%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,043
+$11 P&L
Recent trades
Sold Yes at 15%
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
Sold No at 90%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Sold No at 90%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Sold No at 90%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Sold No at 90%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Sold No at 90%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Sold No at 90%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Bought Yes at 33%
Will PP win the most seats in Santa Cruz de Tenerife in the 2026 Spanish general election?
Bought Yes at 33%
Will PP win the most seats in Santa Cruz de Tenerife in the 2026 Spanish general election?
Bought No at >99%
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ARPC?
Bought Yes at 46%
Will PP win the most seats in Santa Cruz de Tenerife in the 2026 Spanish general election?
Bought Yes at 46%
Will PP win the most seats in Santa Cruz de Tenerife in the 2026 Spanish general election?
Bought Yes at 46%
Will PP win the most seats in Santa Cruz de Tenerife in the 2026 Spanish general election?
Bought Yes at 46%
Will PP win the most seats in Santa Cruz de Tenerife in the 2026 Spanish general election?
Bought Yes at 46%
Will PP win the most seats in Santa Cruz de Tenerife in the 2026 Spanish general election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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